The Epsom data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Epsom, three numbers matter — and they come from 733 Epsom races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Epsom
The SP favourite has won 31.7% of races at Epsom across 733 races. That is roughly the market-wide average — meaning the favourite still loses around two races in three here. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Epsom.
Trainers with the best Epsom record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gary & Josh Moore | 26 | 3 | 11.5% |
| Andrew Balding | 20 | 3 | 15.0% |
| Ian Williams | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
| Ralph Beckett | 18 | 3 | 16.7% |
| Roger Varian | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
Jockeys with the best Epsom record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Murphy | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| Rossa Ryan | 24 | 7 | 29.2% |
| Kieran Shoemark | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| Hector Crouch | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Ray Dawson | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Epsom runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Epsom race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Epsom winner in our data: Folk Pageant (GB) (5/1, 2026-06-06).
How our Epsom tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Epsom each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).