The Aintree data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Aintree, three numbers matter — and they come from 610 Aintree races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Aintree
The SP favourite has won 34.1% of races at Aintree across 610 races. That is roughly the market-wide average — meaning the favourite still loses around two races in three here. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Aintree.
Trainers with the best Aintree record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Skelton | 47 | 10 | 21.3% |
| Olly Murphy | 28 | 3 | 10.7% |
| Ben Pauling | 17 | 3 | 17.6% |
| Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| Jonjo & A J O'Neill | 18 | 2 | 11.1% |
Jockeys with the best Aintree record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| Jack Tudor | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 17 | 2 | 11.8% |
| Jonathan Burke | 16 | 2 | 12.5% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Aintree runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Aintree race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Aintree winner in our data: Southoftheborder (IRE) (4/1, 2026-05-15).
How our Aintree tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Aintree each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).