The Ayr data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Ayr, three numbers matter — and they come from 2,325 Ayr races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Ayr
The SP favourite has won 35.0% of races at Ayr across 2,325 races. That is above the ~33% market-wide average — Ayr rewards the form horse more than most tracks, but it still loses two races in three. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Ayr.
Trainers with the best Ayr record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Goldie | 147 | 29 | 19.7% |
| Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore | 101 | 13 | 12.9% |
| R Mike Smith | 107 | 10 | 9.3% |
| Michael Dods | 58 | 10 | 17.2% |
| N W Alexander | 58 | 8 | 13.8% |
Jockeys with the best Ayr record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mulrennan | 73 | 15 | 20.5% |
| Sean Bowen | 33 | 14 | 42.4% |
| Daniel Tudhope | 40 | 12 | 30.0% |
| Clifford Lee | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| Jason Hart | 67 | 8 | 11.9% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Ayr runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Ayr race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Ayr winner in our data: Military Girl (IRE) (2/1, 2026-05-20).
How our Ayr tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Ayr each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).