The Hereford data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Hereford, three numbers matter — and they come from 838 Hereford races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Hereford
The SP favourite has won 39.1% of races at Hereford across 837 races. That is above the ~33% market-wide average — Hereford rewards the form horse more than most tracks, but it still loses two races in three. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Hereford.
Trainers with the best Hereford record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Snowden | 15 | 8 | 53.3% |
| Nicky Henderson | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| Neil Mulholland | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| Evan Williams | 29 | 4 | 13.8% |
Jockeys with the best Hereford record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bellamy | 24 | 8 | 33.3% |
| Harry Cobden | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| Gavin Sheehan | 14 | 5 | 35.7% |
| Isabelle Ryder | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| James Bowen | 24 | 4 | 16.7% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Hereford runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Hereford race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Hereford winner in our data: Quick Sharpener (IRE) (2/1, 2026-05-12).
How our Hereford tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Hereford each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).