The Nottingham data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Nottingham, three numbers matter — and they come from 1,661 Nottingham races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Nottingham
The SP favourite has won 34.6% of races at Nottingham across 1,661 races. That is roughly the market-wide average — meaning the favourite still loses around two races in three here. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Nottingham.
Trainers with the best Nottingham record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Midgley | 20 | 6 | 30.0% |
| Roger Varian | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| Ed Walker | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| Tim Easterby | 38 | 4 | 10.5% |
| Edward Bethell | 16 | 4 | 25.0% |
Jockeys with the best Nottingham record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Hornby | 42 | 6 | 14.3% |
| Ray Dawson | 15 | 6 | 40.0% |
| Hector Crouch | 24 | 5 | 20.8% |
| Robert Havlin | 19 | 5 | 26.3% |
| Cieren Fallon | 25 | 4 | 16.0% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Nottingham runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Nottingham race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Nottingham winner in our data: Return To Unit (GB) (6/1, 2026-06-11).
How our Nottingham tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Nottingham each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).