The Chester data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Chester, three numbers matter — and they come from 1,108 Chester races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Chester
The SP favourite has won 33.5% of races at Chester across 1,108 races. That is roughly the market-wide average — meaning the favourite still loses around two races in three here. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Chester.
Trainers with the best Chester record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 57 | 15 | 26.3% |
| Hugo Palmer | 73 | 12 | 16.4% |
| Jennie Candlish | 37 | 6 | 16.2% |
| Roger Varian | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
| A P O'Brien | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
Jockeys with the best Chester record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Watson | 45 | 7 | 15.6% |
| Oisin Murphy | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| George Wood | 30 | 5 | 16.7% |
| Cieren Fallon | 21 | 5 | 23.8% |
| Ryan Moore | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Chester runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Chester race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Chester winner in our data: Fox Journey (GB) (3/1, 2026-06-13).
How our Chester tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Chester each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).