the Chester May Festival is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 308 races at Chester in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 164 | 30 | 18.3% |
| A P OBrien | 59 | 25 | 42.4% |
| Richard Fahey | 163 | 16 | 9.8% |
| Mark Johnston | 85 | 13 | 15.3% |
| Hugo Palmer | 109 | 13 | 11.9% |
| Tom Dascombe | 148 | 13 | 8.8% |
| Ian Williams | 148 | 9 | 6.1% |
| Tim Easterby | 77 | 7 | 9.1% |
| David Evans | 63 | 7 | 11.1% |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 105 | 42 | 40.0% |
| Oisin Murphy | 97 | 15 | 15.5% |
| Franny Norton | 134 | 15 | 11.2% |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 75 | 12 | 16.0% |
| Richard Kingscote | 113 | 11 | 9.7% |
| William Buick | 62 | 10 | 16.1% |
| Jim Crowley | 51 | 9 | 17.6% |
| David Probert | 76 | 7 | 9.2% |
| Paul Hanagan | 51 | 7 | 13.7% |
| Frankie Dettori | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| Year | Races | Favourite SR |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 34.5% |
| 2025 | 29 | 48.3% |
| 2024 | 29 | 34.5% |
| 2023 | 28 | 35.7% |
| 2022 | 25 | 48.0% |
| 2021 | 28 | 32.1% |
| 2019 | 28 | 32.1% |
| 2018 | 28 | 39.3% |
| 2017 | 28 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 28 | 17.9% |
| 2015 | 28 | 28.6% |
We score every UK & Irish runner each morning. When the meeting comes round you get the model's pick for each race on Telegram before the off — the same engine behind these 308 races of data.
Verified 34.8% strike on our maximum-confidence bets — every result logged, win or lose.
Get free picks on Telegram →The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Let's Dream (GB) (33/1, 2025), Zinc White (IRE) (33/1, 2023), Exclamation (IRE) (33/1, 2026), State Legend (IRE) (25/1, 2025), Silvanus (IRE) (25/1, 2015), Cherry Baker (GB) (25/1, 2026). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.
When the 2027 the Chester May Festival arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:
Data: all races at Chester in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (308 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.
Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.