The Carlisle data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Carlisle, three numbers matter — and they come from 1,810 Carlisle races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Carlisle
The SP favourite has won 34.6% of races at Carlisle across 1,810 races. That is roughly the market-wide average — meaning the favourite still loses around two races in three here. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Carlisle.
Trainers with the best Carlisle record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Easterby | 79 | 8 | 10.1% |
| Nicky Richards | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| Iain Jardine | 43 | 6 | 14.0% |
| Michael Dods | 26 | 5 | 19.2% |
| K R Burke | 18 | 5 | 27.8% |
Jockeys with the best Carlisle record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny McMenamin | 43 | 13 | 30.2% |
| Brian Hughes | 35 | 5 | 14.3% |
| Mark Winn | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| Connor Beasley | 35 | 4 | 11.4% |
| Andrew Mullen | 23 | 4 | 17.4% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Carlisle runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Carlisle race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Carlisle winner in our data: Redline (GB) (7/2, 2026-06-15).
How our Carlisle tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Carlisle each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).