The Kempton data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Kempton, three numbers matter — and they come from 902 Kempton races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Kempton
The SP favourite has won 40.3% of races at Kempton across 900 races. That is above the ~33% market-wide average — Kempton rewards the form horse more than most tracks, but it still loses two races in three. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Kempton.
Trainers with the best Kempton record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Henderson | 22 | 8 | 36.4% |
| Harry Derham | 16 | 5 | 31.3% |
| Olly Murphy | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| Dan Skelton | 33 | 4 | 12.1% |
| Alan King | 15 | 4 | 26.7% |
Jockeys with the best Kempton record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bowen | 19 | 5 | 26.3% |
| Tom Bellamy | 18 | 5 | 27.8% |
| Paul O'Brien | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| Ben Jones | 20 | 4 | 20.0% |
| James Bowen | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Kempton runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Kempton race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Kempton winner in our data: High Fibre (IRE) (7/2, 2026-03-23).
How our Kempton tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Kempton each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).