The Cheltenham data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Cheltenham, three numbers matter — and they come from 1,210 Cheltenham races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Cheltenham
The SP favourite has won 31.7% of races at Cheltenham across 1,210 races. That is roughly the market-wide average — meaning the favourite still loses around two races in three here. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Cheltenham.
Trainers with the best Cheltenham record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Skelton | 79 | 14 | 17.7% |
| W P Mullins | 64 | 8 | 12.5% |
| Nicky Henderson | 38 | 4 | 10.5% |
| Henry De Bromhead | 36 | 4 | 11.1% |
| Joe Tizzard | 24 | 4 | 16.7% |
Jockeys with the best Cheltenham record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 59 | 13 | 22.0% |
| Harry Cobden | 35 | 6 | 17.1% |
| Sean Bowen | 44 | 5 | 11.4% |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 38 | 4 | 10.5% |
| Ben Jones | 29 | 4 | 13.8% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Cheltenham runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Cheltenham race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Cheltenham winner in our data: Gaelic Warrior (GER) (5/2, 2026-03-13).
How our Cheltenham tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Cheltenham each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).