The Newcastle data that actually repeats
Before you back anything at Newcastle, three numbers matter — and they come from 1,007 Newcastle races in our settled-results database, not a pundit's hunch.
How often the favourite wins at Newcastle
The SP favourite has won 37.9% of races at Newcastle across 1,007 races. That is above the ~33% market-wide average — Newcastle rewards the form horse more than most tracks, but it still loses two races in three. Blind favourite-backing is not a plan at Newcastle.
Trainers with the best Newcastle record (last 12 months)
| Trainer | Runners | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Richards | 18 | 8 | 44.4% |
| Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| Dan Skelton | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore | 34 | 4 | 11.8% |
| Adam Nicol | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
Jockeys with the best Newcastle record (last 12 months)
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Strike rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny McMenamin | 39 | 12 | 30.8% |
| Brian Hughes | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| Callum Bewley | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| Ryan Mania | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| Charlie Maggs | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
Trainer and jockey records: all Newcastle runners in the last 12 months, minimum 8 runs, from our settled-results database. Favourite strike-rate: every Newcastle race with a priced favourite, 2015 onwards. Most recent qualifying Newcastle winner in our data: Parisencore (FR) (2/1, 2026-04-11).
How our Newcastle tips are made
This isn't a tipster's opinion. The same engine that measures the records above scores every runner at Newcastle each morning — form, class, the draw, the going, trainer and jockey signals across 11 years of UK & Irish results — and publishes a rated pick for every race before the off. Win or lose, every selection is logged on our public track record (verified 34.8% on max-bet selections).