Chester · 2:02pm

Laurent-Perrier EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Flat (Turf) 6f GOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 6.7) (Watered) Class 4 2yo 6 runners

Clear read The Dancing Pirate stands out on our figures.

This 6-furlong class 4 contest at Chester is expected to be run at a muddling, tactical gallop, with no clear pace setter. Low draws are favoured on the sprint track, with an impact value of 1.62, beating 58% of rivals on average. The Dancing Pirate, who drops in class and has a recent RPR of 113, is the standout top pick, with Deputy Vice, who has a recent RPR of 110, considered the main danger. The Dancing Pirate's lightly-raced profile suggests potential for progress, while Deputy Vice is likely to race mid-pack.

How it played out: Stardom Glory won. Our top composite read The Dancing Pirate finished 2nd.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Chester (impact value 1.62, beating 58% of rivals on average).

Any unexposed improver?

The Dancing Pirate is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Anyone well-treated?

The Dancing Pirate drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 4

3The Dancing Pirate

2Dreamlover

5Trust Havana

4Walt

Mid-pack 1

6Deputy Vice

Held up 1

1Stardom Glory

Pace confidence: 67%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Chester (impact value 1.62, beating 58% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.62

58% rivals beaten · n=126

Mid draw

IV 0.87

50% rivals beaten · n=134

High draw

IV 0.71

44% rivals beaten · n=163

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read The Dancing Pirate Races prominently Finished 2

Stall 3 · Trainer Andrew Balding · Jockey Jason Watson

Holds solid claims on these figures. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

113

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 113

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

44 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 18.3% on good

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.87)

Drops in class (C2→C4)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

2 Deputy Vice Settles midfieldest Finished 4

Stall 6 · Trainer Rebecca Menzies · Jockey Kaiya Fraser

Holds solid claims on these figures. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

110

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

34 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.71)

Drops in class (C2→C4)

3 Stardom Glory Held up, comes late Finished 1

Stall 1 · Trainer Hugo Palmer · Jockey David Probert

Holds solid claims on these figures. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 80

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

22 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.62)

Drops in class (C3→C4)

4 Dreamlover Races prominently Finished 3

Stall 2 · Trainer Richard Spencer · Jockey George Wood

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 54

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

4 last time ←

FitnessFreshened up — 51 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.62)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Trust Havana Races prominentlyest Finished 6

Stall 5 · Trainer Gary Hanmer · Jockey Sean D Bowen

Holds solid claims on these figures. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 46

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

108 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 5 (high third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.71)

Drops in class (C2→C4)

6 Walt Races prominently Finished 5

Stall 4 · Trainer David Loughnane · Jockey David Egan

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 12

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

5 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 19.4% on good

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.87)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.