Chester · 3:03pm

Manor Car Hire Handicap

Flat (Turf) 6f GOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 6.7) (Watered) Class 3 3yo+ 9 runners

Clear read Dark Thirty stands out on our figures.

This 6f class 3 contest at Chester is expected to be run at a strong, contested gallop, with Dark Thirty, Rosenpur, and Ruby's Angel all likely to vie for the lead. Low draws are favoured on the sprint track at Chester, with an impact value of 1.62, beating 58% of rivals on average. Dark Thirty stands out as the top pick, dropping in class with a recent RPR of 118, while Stormy Impact is considered the main danger, holding a recent RPR of 106. Other leading contenders include Stratusnine and Solar Aclaim, both with recent RPRs of 104.

How it played out: Dark Thirty won. Our top composite read Dark Thirty finished 1st.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Dark Thirty, Rosenpur, Ruby's Angel all want the lead, pointing to a strong, contested gallop. That favours those who can settle and finish.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Chester (impact value 1.62, beating 58% of rivals on average).

Anyone well-treated?

Dark Thirty drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 3

4Dark Thirty

7Rosenpur

1Ruby's Angel

Prominent 4

9Stratusnine

6Solar Aclaim

5Candonomore

2We Never Stop

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 2

8Stormy Impact

3Purest Time

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Chester (impact value 1.62, beating 58% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.62

58% rivals beaten · n=126

Mid draw

IV 0.87

50% rivals beaten · n=134

High draw

IV 0.71

44% rivals beaten · n=163

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Dark Thirty Likely to lead Finished 1

Stall 4 · Trainer John & Sean Quinn · Jockey Jason Hart

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

118 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 118

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

131071112 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 6 of 13

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 5 of 18 around 6f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.87)

Drops in class (C2→C3)

2 Stormy Impact Held up, comes late Finished 5

Stall 8 · Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey · Jockey Ethan Tindall(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

106 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 106

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

5826164 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 4

DistanceHas won around 6f — 1 from 9

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.71)

Drops in class (C2→C3)

3 Stratusnine Races prominently Finished 3

Stall 9 · Trainer Hugo Palmer · Jockey David Egan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

104 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 104

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

UR52PU28 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 3

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 8 around 6f

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 9 (high third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.71)

Drops in class (C2→C3)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

4 Solar Aclaim Races prominently Finished 9

Stall 6 · Trainer Julie Camacho · Jockey Joanna Mason

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

104 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 104

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

321111481 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 14 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.87)

Stable hot (5/23, 22%)

5 Purest Time Held up, comes late Finished 7

Stall 3 · Trainer Ian Williams · Jockey Edward Greatrex

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

91 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

31051171 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceHas won around 6f — 1 from 11

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 47 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 15%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.62)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

6 Rosenpur Likely to lead Finished 6

Stall 7 · Trainer Jennie Candlish · Jockey George Wood

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. First-time hood could sharpen him up; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

90 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 88

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

2112615 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 3 of 14

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 8 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 3 from 7 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.71)

First-time hoodStable hot (4/17, 24%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

7 Ruby's Angel Likely to lead Finished 4

Stall 1 · Trainer Hugo Palmer · Jockey David Probert

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

91 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 79

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

4142116 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 4

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 6 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.62)

Drops in class (C2→C3)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 Candonomore Races prominently Finished 8

Stall 5 · Trainer Jennie Candlish · Jockey Sean Levey

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. First-time tongue-tie+cheekpieces could sharpen him up; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

86 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 83

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

522136 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 7)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.87)

First-time tongue-tie+cheekpiecesStable hot (4/17, 24%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 We Never Stop Races prominently Finished 2

Stall 2 · Trainer Kevin Ryan · Jockey Tom Eaves

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

97 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Chester

Last time out

RPR 52

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

79381916 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

DistanceHas won around 6f — 4 from 24

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 7%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.62)

First-time cheekpiecesFirst run since wind opDrops in class (C2→C3)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.