Curragh · 1:45pm

Barronstown Stud Irish European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden

Flat (Turf) 7f GOOD TO FIRM 2yo · C & G 8 runners

Solid read Giant Sequoia is our pick, with Darivan the main danger.

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter. On recent form Bull Shark sets the standard (RPR 84). By our composite read Giant Sequoia shapes as the one they all have to beat. Pace read is partial here (limited run-style history), so treat the shape call with caution.

How it played out: Giant Sequoia won. Our top composite read Giant Sequoia finished 1st.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Does the draw matter?

High draws are favoured over mid at Curragh (impact value 1.25, beating 48% of rivals on average).

Any unexposed improver?

Giant Sequoia is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Who's the main danger?

Darivan is the chief threat to Giant Sequoia.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 6

4Giant Sequoia

1Darivan

8Oklahoma

3Shakespeare

7Yellow Sky

6Bull Shark

Mid-pack 1

2Venetian Power

Held up 1

5Winnie's Wish

Pace confidence: 25%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

High draws are favoured over mid at Curragh (impact value 1.25, beating 48% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.08

53% rivals beaten · n=519

Mid draw

IV 1.16

49% rivals beaten · n=545

High draw

IV 1.25

48% rivals beaten · n=694

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Giant Sequoia Races prominentlyest Finished 1

Stall 4 · Trainer A P O'Brien · Jockey Ryan Moore

Holds solid claims on these figures. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 22% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 80

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

3 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 15.6% on firm

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 22%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

2 Darivan Races prominentlyest Finished 6

Stall 1 · Trainer J P Murtagh · Jockey Seamie Heffernan

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.08)

3 Oklahoma Races prominentlyest Finished 2

Stall 8 · Trainer A P O'Brien · Jockey Wayne Lordan

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 22% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 13.0% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 22%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.25)

4 Shakespeare Races prominentlyest Finished 3

Stall 3 · Trainer A P O'Brien · Jockey Jack Cleary(5)

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 22% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 23.8% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 22%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

5 Venetian Power Settles midfieldest Finished 4

Stall 2 · Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 12.5% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.08)

6 Yellow Sky Races prominentlyest Finished 5

Stall 7 · Trainer J P Murtagh · Jockey Ben Coen

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 19.8% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.25)

7 Bull Shark Races prominently Finished 7

Stall 6 · Trainer Robson De Aguiar · Jockey Donagh O'Connor

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 5. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

84 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 25% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 64

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

333220 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 1)

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 25%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.25)

8 Winnie's Wish Held up, comes late Finished 8

Stall 5 · Trainer Gavin Cromwell · Jockey Gary Carroll

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 60

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

810 last time ←

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.