Newcastle (AW) · 2:10pm

JenningsBet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3)

Flat (AW) 6f TAPETA: STANDARD TO SLOW Class 1 3yo+ · Group 3 11 runners

Solid read Diligent Harry is our pick, with Symbol Of Honour the main danger. Field updated — 1 non-runner removed.

Noble Champion and Poet Master should ensure an even gallop. On recent form Marvelman sets the standard (RPR 119). By our composite read Diligent Harry shapes as the one they all have to beat — goes well on the standard, has won at the track, is proven at the trip. Note Heathcliff for an in-form yard.

How it played out: Paborus won. Our top composite read Diligent Harry finished 8th.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Noble Champion and Poet Master should ensure an even gallop.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Newcastle (AW) (impact value 1.16, beating 49% of rivals on average).

Who's the main danger?

Symbol Of Honour is the chief threat to Diligent Harry, with the form figures climbing.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 2

5Noble Champion

11Poet Master

Prominent 6

10Diligent Harry

7Symbol Of Honour

6Ferrous

4Marvelman

8Heathcliff

12Bloodsweatandtyres

Mid-pack 1

1Paborus

Held up 2

3Wiltshire

2Zoum Zoum

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Newcastle (AW) (impact value 1.16, beating 49% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.16

49% rivals beaten · n=645

Mid draw

IV 0.91

48% rivals beaten · n=727

High draw

IV 1.11

52% rivals beaten · n=871

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Diligent Harry Races prominently Finished 8

Stall 10 · Trainer Clive Cox · Jockey Saffie Osborne

Holds solid claims on these figures. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

116 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 111

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

5141144 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 10 of 17

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 7 of 29 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

FitnessFreshened up — 45 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 10 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

First-time cheekpieces

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

2 Symbol Of Honour Races prominently Finished 3

Stall 7 · Trainer Charlie Appleby · Jockey William Buick

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

113 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 29% · Jockey 25%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 111

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

246118 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 5 around 6f

FitnessReturns from 119 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 29%, jockey 25%

DrawDrawn 7 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

Fresh (119d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Noble Champion Likely to lead Finished 9

Stall 5 · Trainer Ed Walker · Jockey Paul Mulrennan

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

114 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 114

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

17371PU last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

First-time tongue-tie

4 Paborus Settles midfield Finished 1

Stall 1 · Trainer Edward Bethell · Jockey Callum Rodriguez

Reliable and on the up — placed in 5 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

117 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 16%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 111

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

117113 last time ←

FitnessBack from a long absence — 364 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 16%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

Long layoff (364d)

5 Poet Master Likely to lead Finished 7

Stall 11 · Trainer K R Burke · Jockey Sam James

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

112 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 110

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

592253 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 11 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Ferrous Races prominently Finished 6

Stall 6 · Trainer Jack Channon · Jockey Connor Beasley

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

111 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 17% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 94

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

364265 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 5 of 12

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 6 of 21 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 3 here

FitnessFreshened up — 85 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 17%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

Fresh (85d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

7 Marvelman Races prominently Finished 2

Stall 4 · Trainer Andrew Balding · Jockey P J McDonald

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6.

Ability rating

119 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 96

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

2933114 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

FitnessReturns from 133 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

Long layoff (133d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 Wiltshire Held up, comes late Finished 11

Stall 3 · Trainer William Haggas · Jockey Cieren Fallon

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

106 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 19% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 90

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

71165111 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 4 of 9

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 4 of 13 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 19%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

First-time tongue-tie

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

9 Heathcliff Races prominently Finished 4

Stall 8 · Trainer James Fanshawe · Jockey Daniel Muscutt

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

108 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 94

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3124721 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 5 of 20

DistanceHas won around 6f — 1 from 13

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 13%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

Stable hot (5/22, 23%)

10 Zoum Zoum Held up, comes late Finished 5

Stall 2 · Trainer Ralph Beckett · Jockey Hector Crouch

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

109 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 50

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1374229 last time ←

DistanceHas won around 6f — 1 from 7

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

First-time tongue-tie

Weakened in the closing stages last time

11 Bloodsweatandtyres Races prominently Finished 10

Stall 12 · Trainer Brian Ellison · Jockey Mikey Sheehy

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

74 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 27

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

3122 last time ←

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 12 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.