Newcastle (AW) · 3:45pm

JenningsBet Over 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap

Flat (AW) 6f TAPETA: STANDARD TO SLOW Class 2 3yo+ 14 runners

Tight read Fahrenheit Seven just edges it from Power Fizz and Annaf — top 3 covered by 3 RPR.

Power Fizz is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front. On recent form Annaf sets the standard (RPR 114). By our composite read Fahrenheit Seven shapes as the one they all have to beat — goes well on the standard, has won at the track, is proven at the trip. Note Caburn for an in-form yard. In truth this is a tight heat — Fahrenheit Seven just shades it from Power Fizz on our read, so each-way thinking and the placepot make sense.

How it played out: Tuco Salamanca won. Our top composite read Fahrenheit Seven finished 13th.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Power Fizz is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Newcastle (AW) (impact value 1.16, beating 49% of rivals on average).

Any unexposed improver?

Rapper's Delight is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Anyone well-treated?

Cool Hoof Luke drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Who's the main danger?

Power Fizz is the chief threat to Fahrenheit Seven, met trouble last time — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

7Power Fizz

Prominent 6

4Fahrenheit Seven

1Knebworth

9Pocklington

12Cool Hoof Luke

6Rapper's Delight

8Topwarrior

Mid-pack 2

5Strike Red

14Al Najashi

Held up 5

13Annaf

3Tuco Salamanca

2Fivethousandtoone

10Caburn

11The Caltonian

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Newcastle (AW) (impact value 1.16, beating 49% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.16

49% rivals beaten · n=645

Mid draw

IV 0.91

48% rivals beaten · n=727

High draw

IV 1.11

52% rivals beaten · n=871

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Fahrenheit Seven Races prominently Finished 13

Stall 4 · Trainer Robert Cowell · Jockey Ray Dawson

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

112 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 99

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

11911722 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 3 of 5

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 6 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

FitnessFreshened up — 45 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 4 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

2 Power Fizz Likely to lead Finished 11

Stall 7 · Trainer William Haggas · Jockey Cieren Fallon

Reliable and on the up — placed in 5 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

100 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 19% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 100

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

112141 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 1 here

FitnessReturns from 92 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 19%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 7 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

Fresh (92d)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

3 Annaf Held up, comes late Finished 3

Stall 13 · Trainer Michael Appleby · Jockey Daniel Muscutt

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

114 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 97

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

151761313 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 5 of 13

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 7 of 32 around 6f

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 13%

DrawDrawn 13 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Knebworth Races prominently Finished 10

Stall 1 · Trainer Richard Hughes · Jockey Finley Marsh

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. First-time blinkers could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

98 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 98

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

12613112 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 5 of 14

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 7 of 31 around 6f

FitnessReturns from 91 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

First-time blinkersFresh (91d)

5 Tuco Salamanca Held up, comes late Finished 1

Stall 3 · Trainer Ollie Sangster · Jockey William Buick

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

105 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 25%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 93

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

115916 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 5 of 9

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 10 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 3 here

FitnessFreshened up — 45 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 25%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

First-time tongue-tie

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Fivethousandtoone Held up, comes late Finished 8

Stall 2 · Trainer Tim Easterby · Jockey David Allan

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

103 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 97

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

9322116 last time ←

GroundHas won on standard — 4 from 23

DistanceHas won around 6f — 5 from 42

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 5 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.16)

First-time cheekpieces

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

7 Strike Red Settles midfield Finished 2

Stall 5 · Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey · Jockey Warren Fentiman(3)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

96 improving

recent best — career high 106 in 2023

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 96

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

11311074 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 3 of 15

DistanceHas won around 6f — 9 from 55

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 Pocklington Races prominently Finished 4

Stall 9 · Trainer Geoff Oldroyd · Jockey P J McDonald

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

105 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 20% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 89

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

221278 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 3 of 7

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 13 around 6f

Course4 runs at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 45 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 9 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 Cool Hoof Luke Races prominently Finished 7

Stall 12 · Trainer Andrew Balding · Jockey Rob Hornby

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

111 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 83

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3131135 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 2 of 3

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 6 around 6f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 12 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

Drops in class (C1→C2)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

10 Al Najashi Settles midfield Finished 14

Stall 14 · Trainer Ollie Sangster · Jockey Callum Rodriguez

A model of consistency — placed in 5 of his last 6. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

92 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 16%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 81

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

111119 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 5 of 7

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 4 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 2 here

FitnessFreshened up — 45 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 16%

DrawDrawn 14 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

First-time tongue-tie

Weakened in the closing stages last time

11 Rapper's Delight Races prominently Finished 9

Stall 6 · Trainer Richard Spencer · Jockey Saffie Osborne

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

90 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 90

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

321 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 1 of 3

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

FitnessReturns from 113 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

Fresh (113d)

12 Caburn Held up, comes late Finished 6

Stall 10 · Trainer James Tate · Jockey Connor Beasley

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

107 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 19% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 76

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

111418312 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 8 around 6f

FitnessFreshened up — 63 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 19%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 10 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

First-time cheekpiecesStable hot (7/22, 32%)Fresh (63d)

13 Topwarrior Races prominently Finished 12

Stall 8 · Trainer Ralph Beckett · Jockey Hector Crouch

Holds solid claims on these figures. First-time tongue-tie+blinkers could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

98 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 76

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

13PU212114 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 8 around 6f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 8 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.91)

First-time tongue-tie+blinkers

14 The Caltonian Held up, comes late Finished 5

Stall 11 · Trainer Linda Perratt · Jockey Paul Mulrennan

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time blinkers could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

97 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 5% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 74

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

114611310 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 7 of 25

DistanceHas won around 6f — 4 from 23

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 6 here

FitnessFreshened up — 75 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 5%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 11 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.11)

First-time blinkersFresh (75d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.