Newcastle (AW) · 1:40pm

Education Network Handicap

Flat (AW) 7f TAPETA: STANDARD TO SLOW Class 2 3yo+ 14 runners

Solid read Supido is our pick, with Room Service the main danger.

Yorkshire, Sergeant Wilko, Sir Albert all want the lead, pointing to a strong, contested gallop. That favours those who can settle and finish. On recent form Room Service sets the standard (RPR 112), and is suited by the likely pace. By our composite read Supido shapes as the one they all have to beat — is proven at the trip. Note Nikovo for an in-form yard.

How it played out: Room Service won. The contested pace set it up for one held up — as flagged. Our top composite read Supido finished 7th.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Yorkshire, Sergeant Wilko, Sir Albert all want the lead, pointing to a strong, contested gallop. That favours those who can settle and finish.

Does the draw matter?

Mid draws are favoured over mid at Newcastle (AW) (impact value 1.31, beating 52% of rivals on average). Yorkshire, the likely leader, is drawn in the favoured section — a positive.

Anyone well-treated?

Room Service drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Who's the main danger?

Room Service is the chief threat to Supido, proven at the trip.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 3

9Yorkshire

8Sir Albert

13Sergeant Wilko

Prominent 4

6Bobby Bennu

11Brighton Boy

3Caviar Cowboy

1Metal Merchant

Mid-pack 2

7Supido

2Rajeko

Held up 5

4Room Service

10Nikovo

12Korker

5Tremolo

14Witch Hunter

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Mid draws are favoured over mid at Newcastle (AW) (impact value 1.31, beating 52% of rivals on average). Yorkshire, the likely leader, is drawn in the favoured section — a positive.

Low draw

IV 0.94

47% rivals beaten · n=880

Mid draw

IV 1.31

52% rivals beaten · n=984

High draw

IV 0.95

51% rivals beaten · n=1228

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Supido Settles midfield Finished 7

Stall 7 · Trainer Ian Williams · Jockey William Buick

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

108 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 25%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 108

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1385813 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 7f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 25%

DrawDrawn 7 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.31)

First-time cheekpieces

2 Room Service Held up, comes late Finished 1

Stall 4 · Trainer Jamie Osborne · Jockey Saffie Osborne

Holds solid claims on these figures. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

112 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 102

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

142875 last time ←

DistanceHas won around 7f — 1 from 7

FitnessBack from a long absence — 266 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 4 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Drops in class (C1→C2)Long layoff (266d)

3 Bobby Bennu Races prominently Finished 2

Stall 6 · Trainer Roger Varian · Jockey Ray Dawson

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time hood could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

105 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 22% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 105

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

8255154 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 1 of 4

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 13 around 7f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 22%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.31)

First-time hood

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

4 Nikovo Held up, comes late Finished 3

Stall 10 · Trainer Michael Herrington · Jockey Darragh Keenan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

99 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 97

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1616854 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 5 of 22

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 7 around 7f

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 9 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 10 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.95)

Stable hot (4/18, 22%)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

5 Korker Held up, comes late Finished 4

Stall 12 · Trainer K R Burke · Jockey Jack Nicholls(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

104 improving

recent best — career high 114 in 2023

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 101

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

213138106 last time ←

GroundYet to win on standard (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 12 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.95)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

6 Tremolo Held up, comes late Finished 6

Stall 5 · Trainer Harry Charlton · Jockey Lewis Edmunds

Reliable and on the up — placed in 4 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

95 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 95

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

159113 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 3 of 5

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 4 around 7f

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessBack from a long absence — 310 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.31)

Long layoff (310d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

7 Witch Hunter Held up, comes late Finished 11

Stall 14 · Trainer Richard Hannon · Jockey Paul Mulrennan

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

102 steady

recent best — career high 116 in 2023

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 89

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

489201519 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 4 of 19

DistanceHas won around 7f — 4 from 29

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 4 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 14 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.95)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 Rajeko Settles midfield Finished 10

Stall 2 · Trainer Michael Bell · Jockey Daniel Muscutt

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6.

Ability rating

102 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 17% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 93

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1481210 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 1 of 3

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

FitnessReturns from 127 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 17%, jockey 13%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Long layoff (127d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 Yorkshire Likely to lead Finished 9

Stall 9 · Trainer Edward Bethell · Jockey Connor Beasley

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

104 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

5146911 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 4 of 9

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 4 of 18 around 7f

FitnessFreshened up — 49 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 9 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.31)

First-time tongue-tie

Weakened in the closing stages last time

10 Brighton Boy Races prominently Finished 12

Stall 11 · Trainer Tim Easterby · Jockey David Allan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

97 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 93

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

9710126 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 9 around 7f

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 11 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.95)

11 Sir Albert Likely to lead Finished 13

Stall 8 · Trainer Andrew Balding · Jockey P J McDonald

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

99 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 87

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1395128 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 5 around 7f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 1 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 8 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.31)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

12 Sergeant Wilko Likely to lead Finished 8

Stall 13 · Trainer Kevin Ryan · Jockey Sam James

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

93 improving

recent best — career high 104 in 2024

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 93

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

6194682 last time ←

GroundHas won on standard — 1 from 7

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 1)

Course4 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 13 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.95)

First-time cheekpieces

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

13 Caviar Cowboy Races prominently Finished 5

Stall 3 · Trainer James Fanshawe · Jockey Luke Morris

Reliable and on the up — placed in 5 of his last 5, with the form figures climbing. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

91 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

32212 last time ←

GroundProven on standard — won 1 of 5

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 7f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Stable hot (5/22, 23%)

14 Metal Merchant Races prominently Finished 14

Stall 1 · Trainer John Butler · Jockey Cieren Fallon

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

104 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Newcastle (AW)

Last time out

RPR 57

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

4910122013 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 5 around 7f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Stable hot (5/23, 22%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.