Curragh · 5:40pm

Jo Browne Luxury Skincare Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden

Flat (Turf) 6f GOOD TO FIRM 3yo+ 21 runners

Solid read Solana Beach is our pick, with Trek Home the main danger.

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter. On recent form Solana Beach sets the standard (RPR 93). Note Solana Beach for an in-form yard.

How it played out: Suspicious Mindz won.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Curragh (impact value 1.38, beating 48% of rivals on average).

Any unexposed improver?

Solana Beach is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Who's the main danger?

Trek Home is the chief threat to Solana Beach.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

7Forza Magico

Prominent 10

12Solana Beach

16Trek Home

4Starborn Legend

11Amerilis

8Suspicious Mindz

21Cara Teaghlaigh

1Off We Go

3Lady Moon

6Focaccia

14Forbidden

Mid-pack 4

19Tide Of Fortune

5Saint Acclaim

17Spinola Bear

10Lilli's Angel

Held up 6

20Dandymaria

13Footstepstoglory

2Hazrama

15Mountain Memory

9Banshof

18Leannespour

Pace confidence: 57%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Curragh (impact value 1.38, beating 48% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.38

48% rivals beaten · n=373

Mid draw

IV 1.06

48% rivals beaten · n=397

High draw

IV 1.02

53% rivals beaten · n=494

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Solana Beach Races prominently

Stall 12 · Trainer J A Stack · Jockey Seamie Heffernan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

93 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 93

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

243 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 16.8% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 12 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

Stable hot (2/7, 29%)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

2 Trek Home Races prominently Finished 4

Stall 16 · Trainer Daniel James Murphy · Jockey Shane Foley

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 89

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

44 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 16 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Tide Of Fortune Settles midfield Finished 18

Stall 19 · Trainer Richard Brabazon · Jockey Gary Carroll

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 3% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 92

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

82 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 3%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 19 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

4 Starborn Legend Races prominentlyest Finished 2

Stall 4 · Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle

Holds solid claims on these figures. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 87

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

6 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 4 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

First-time tongue-tie

5 Dandymaria Held up, comes late Finished 12

Stall 20 · Trainer A Oliver · Jockey Colin Keane

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 82

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

4 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 13.2% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 17%

DrawDrawn 20 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

6 Amerilis Races prominently Finished 6

Stall 11 · Trainer Gillian Scott · Jockey Donagh O'Connor

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

89 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 2% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 89

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

66492 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 4)

Course4 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 2%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 11 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

First-time tongue-tie

Weakened in the closing stages last time

7 Suspicious Mindz Races prominently Finished 1

Stall 8 · Trainer Mrs John Harrington · Jockey Jessica O'Gorman(7)

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6.

Ability rating

89 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 70

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

353237 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 8 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

8 Footstepstoglory Held up, comes late Finished 13

Stall 13 · Trainer David Harry Kelly · Jockey Gavin Ryan

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

84 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 72

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

785296 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 13 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

9 Saint Acclaim Settles midfieldest Finished 16

Stall 5 · Trainer J P Murtagh · Jockey Ben Coen

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 12.5% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 5 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

10 Spinola Bear Settles midfieldest Finished 17

Stall 17 · Trainer Kieran P Cotter · Jockey Leigh Roche

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 17 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

11 Cara Teaghlaigh Races prominentlyest Finished 3

Stall 21 · Trainer Thomas Cleary · Jockey Rory Cleary

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 4% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 4%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 21 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

12 Forza Magico Likely to leadest Finished 5

Stall 7 · Trainer John James Feane · Jockey Ronan Whelan

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 7 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

13 Lilli's Angel Settles midfieldest Finished 9

Stall 10 · Trainer Daniel McLoughlin · Jockey Scott McCullagh

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 18.4% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 10 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

14 Off We Go Races prominentlyest Finished 14

Stall 1 · Trainer A Oliver · Jockey Luke McAteer

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

—

most recent run

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 12.6% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

15 Hazrama Held up, comes late Finished 19

Stall 2 · Trainer D K Weld · Jockey Chris Hayes

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 68

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

10 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 19.2% on firm

FitnessBack from a long absence — 307 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

Long layoff (307d)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

16 Mountain Memory Held up, comes late Finished 10

Stall 15 · Trainer Andrew Slattery · Jockey Adam Browne-Souza(7)

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 67

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

58 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 15 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

17 Banshof Held up, comes late Finished 8

Stall 9 · Trainer Matthew J Smith · Jockey Jack Kearney(3)

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 66

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

6 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 17.4% on firm

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 9 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

18 Lady Moon Races prominentlyest Finished 11

Stall 3 · Trainer A Oliver · Jockey W J Lee

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 63

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

9 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 12.6% on firm

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

19 Focaccia Races prominently Finished 7

Stall 6 · Trainer J A Stack · Jockey Andrew Slattery

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

68 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 50

most recent run

Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent

37211 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 7%

DrawDrawn 6 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

Stable hot (2/7, 29%)

20 Forbidden Races prominentlyest Finished 20

Stall 14 · Trainer Tracey Collins · Jockey Nathan Crosse

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 48

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

16 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 14 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

21 Leannespour Held up, comes late Finished 15

Stall 18 · Trainer Edward Lynam · Jockey Declan McDonogh

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 31

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

1114 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessBack from a long absence — 273 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 18 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

Long layoff (273d)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.