Curragh · 3:20pm

Airlie Stud Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)

Flat (Turf) 6f GOOD TO FIRM Class 1 2yo · F · Group 2 6 runners

Clear read Sun Goddess stands out on our figures. Field updated — 2 non-runners removed.

Belle Of The Ball is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front. On recent form Sun Goddess sets the standard (RPR 114). Sun Goddess rates the clear standout and is taken to confirm.

How it played out: Sun Goddess won. Our top composite read Sun Goddess finished 1st.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Belle Of The Ball is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Curragh (impact value 1.38, beating 48% of rivals on average).

Any unexposed improver?

Sun Goddess is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

8Belle Of The Ball

Prominent 1

7Sun Goddess

Mid-pack 1

6Beibhinn

Held up 3

3Controlla

5Green Empress

1Maggie Walker

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Curragh (impact value 1.38, beating 48% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.38

48% rivals beaten · n=373

Mid draw

IV 1.06

48% rivals beaten · n=397

High draw

IV 1.02

53% rivals beaten · n=494

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Sun Goddess Races prominently Finished 1

Stall 7 · Trainer A P O'Brien · Jockey Ryan Moore

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

114 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 22% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 114

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

212 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 18.4% on firm

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 1 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 22%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

2 Beibhinn Settles midfield Finished 3

Stall 6 · Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Jockey Declan McDonogh

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 94

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

41 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 16.8% on firm

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 6f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Belle Of The Ball Likely to lead Finished 4

Stall 8 · Trainer Mrs John Harrington · Jockey Shane Foley

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 85

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

51 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

4 Controlla Held up, comes late Finished 5

Stall 3 · Trainer Robson De Aguiar · Jockey Colin Keane

Holds solid claims on these figures. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 25% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 88

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

214 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 19.8% on firm

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 25%, jockey 17%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.06)

5 Green Empress Held up, comes late Finished 2

Stall 5 · Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 74

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

2 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 15.0% on firm

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 5 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.02)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

6 Maggie Walker Held up, comes late Finished 6

Stall 1 · Trainer David Marnane · Jockey Luke McAteer

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Curragh

Last time out

RPR 69

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

1 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 23.6% on firm

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 1 around 6f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.