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Chepstow · 8:35pm

Reecer Group Handicap

Flat (Turf) 6f GOOD TO FIRM (Watered; 7.8) Class 6 4yo+ 7 runners
Solid read Ravenglass is our pick, with Autumn Angel the main danger.
This 6f class 6 contest at Chepstow is expected to be run at a steady gallop, with Weston Court, drawn in a favourable low position, likely to dictate the pace. Low draws have a significant advantage over this sprint trip at Chepstow, with an impact value of 1.23, beating 50% of rivals on average. The leading contenders include Ravenglass, a course winner with a recent RPR of 76, and Autumn Angel, also a course winner, with a recent RPR of 65, who poses the main threat to Ravenglass. Weston Court's favourable draw and likely leadership position provide a positive setup, while Reidh and Autumn Angel also feature among the top contenders.
How it played out: Marisitta won. Our top composite read Ravenglass finished 4th.
The key questions
How will the race be run?
Weston Court is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control, and is favourably drawn (low is best over this trip here) — a powerful setup if left alone up front.
Does the draw matter?
Low draws are favoured over sprint at Chepstow (impact value 1.23, beating 50% of rivals on average). Weston Court, the likely leader, is drawn in the favoured section — a positive.
Who's the main danger?
Autumn Angel is the chief threat to Ravenglass, with the form figures climbing.
Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

1Weston Court

Prominent 3

6Reidh
3Thanks Dad
2Marisitta

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 3

5Ravenglass
7Autumn Angel
4Sioux Warrior

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Chepstow (impact value 1.23, beating 50% of rivals on average). Weston Court, the likely leader, is drawn in the favoured section — a positive.

Low draw

IV 1.23
50% rivals beaten · n=109

Mid draw

IV 0.86
48% rivals beaten · n=127

High draw

IV 1.1
51% rivals beaten · n=174
What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)
No. 1 read Ravenglass Held up, comes late Finished 4
Stall 5 · Trainer Adrian Wintle · Jockey Joe Leavy

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time blinkers could sharpen him up.

Ability rating
76 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 9% · Jockey 9%
strike rate at Chepstow
Last time out
RPR 76
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
644762 last time ←
GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 10
DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 3)
CourseCourse winner — 1 from 4 here
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 9%
DrawDrawn 5 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.1)
First-time blinkers
2 Autumn Angel Held up, comes late Finished 2
Stall 7 · Trainer Tony Carroll · Jockey Rowan Scott

Reliable and on the up — placed in 4 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. First-time blinkers could sharpen him up; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating
65 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 10% · Jockey 7%
strike rate at Chepstow
Last time out
RPR 65
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
337142 last time ←
DistanceHas won around 6f — 5 from 40
CourseCourse winner — 1 from 3 here
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 7%
DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.1)
First-time blinkersStable hot (10/41, 24%)
3 Reidh Races prominently Finished 7
Stall 6 · Trainer Adam Kirby · Jockey Tom Queally

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating
57 improving
recent best — career high 87 in 2024
This track
Trainer 9% · Jockey 8%
strike rate at Chepstow
Last time out
RPR 57
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
1111111297 last time ←
GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 6
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 8%
DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.1)
Weakened in the closing stages last time
4 Weston Court Likely to lead Finished 5
Stall 1 · Trainer Ronald Harris · Jockey Ryan Kavanagh(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating
47 improving
recent best — career high 58 in 2024
This track
Trainer 9% · Jockey 11%
strike rate at Chepstow
Last time out
RPR 47
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
9117986 last time ←
GroundProven on firm — won 2 of 9
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 11%
DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.23)
Weakened in the closing stages last time
5 Thanks Dad Races prominently Finished 6
Stall 3 · Trainer Scott Dixon · Jockey Tyler Heard

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time tongue-tie+visor could sharpen him up.

Ability rating
64 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 7% · Jockey 6%
strike rate at Chepstow
Last time out
RPR 43
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
191310108 last time ←
GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 4)
DistanceHas won around 6f — 1 from 6
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 6%
DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.86)
First-time tongue-tie+visor
Weakened in the closing stages last time
6 Sioux Warrior Held up, comes late Finished 3
Stall 4 · Trainer Adrian Wintle · Jockey Taryn Langley(5)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating
60 regressing
recent best — career high 77 in 2023
This track
Trainer 9% · Jockey 7%
strike rate at Chepstow
Last time out
RPR 50
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
756523 last time ←
GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 6)
DistanceHas won around 6f — 1 from 16
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 7%
DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.86)
Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit
7 Marisitta Races prominently Finished 1
Stall 2 · Trainer John O'Shea · Jockey William Carson

Holds solid claims on these figures. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating
44 steady
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 12% · Jockey 8%
strike rate at Chepstow
Last time out
RPR 44
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
794756 last time ←
GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 4)
Course7 runs at the track without winning
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 8%
DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.23)
First-time cheekpieces
Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.