York · 4:15pm

Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Sprint Handicap

Flat (Turf) 6f GOOD (Good to firm in places; watered; Overall 6.1; Home straight: Far side 5.9, Centre 6.1, Stands' side 6.0) Class 4 3yo 13 runners

Solid read Explosive Finnish is our pick, with Kinnalargy the main danger. Field updated — 2 non-runners removed.

Kinnalargy, Rikki Tiki Tavi, Bleep Test all want the lead, pointing to a strong, contested gallop. That favours those who can settle and finish. On recent form Explosive Finnish sets the standard (RPR 94). Note Logi Bear for an in-form yard.

How it played out: Hallo Spaceboy won. Our top composite read Explosive Finnish finished 5th.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Kinnalargy, Rikki Tiki Tavi, Bleep Test all want the lead, pointing to a strong, contested gallop. That favours those who can settle and finish.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at York (impact value 1.32, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Any unexposed improver?

Invincible Boy is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Anyone well-treated?

Evening Blues drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Who's the main danger?

Kinnalargy is the chief threat to Explosive Finnish, with the form figures climbing.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 4

5Kinnalargy

13Bleep Test

6Million Gold

10Rikki Tiki Tavi

Prominent 7

8Explosive Finnish

11Arduis Invicta

14Invincible Boy

7Hallo Spaceboy

3Evening Blues

12Mr Noble

15Von Trotter

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 2

4Logi Bear

1Bye Law

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at York (impact value 1.32, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.32

53% rivals beaten · n=275

Mid draw

IV 1.17

53% rivals beaten · n=294

High draw

IV 0.97

45% rivals beaten · n=367

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Explosive Finnish Races prominently Finished 5

Stall 8 · Trainer Kevin & Lauren Frost · Jockey Alistair Rawlinson

Reliable and on the up — placed in 5 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

94 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 40% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 94

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

433322 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 3)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 40%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 8 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.17)

2 Kinnalargy Likely to lead Finished 7

Stall 5 · Trainer Kevin Ryan · Jockey Oisin McSweeney

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

90 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 90

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1374135 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 3)

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.17)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Arduis Invicta Races prominently Finished 4

Stall 11 · Trainer Craig Lidster · Jockey William Pyle

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

88 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 88

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

6611662 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 8)

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 7)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 11 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.97)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Logi Bear Held up, comes late Finished 9

Stall 4 · Trainer John Butler · Jockey Marco Ghiani

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

81 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 79

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

181916662 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 7

DistanceHas won around 6f — 1 from 7

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 13%

DrawDrawn 4 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

Stable hot (5/23, 22%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Invincible Boy Races prominently Finished 8

Stall 14 · Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey · Jockey Oisin Orr

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

84 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 84

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

231 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 6f

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 81 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 14 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.97)

Fresh (81d)

6 Bye Law Held up, comes late Finished 13

Stall 1 · Trainer Tim Easterby · Jockey Cam Hardie

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

77 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 77

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

5661333 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 6

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 8 around 6f

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

7 Hallo Spaceboy Races prominently Finished 1

Stall 7 · Trainer Ed Walker · Jockey Oisin Murphy

Reliable and on the up — placed in 5 of his last 5, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

82 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 19%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 82

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

32122 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 4)

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 50 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 19%

DrawDrawn 7 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.17)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

8 Evening Blues Races prominently Finished 2

Stall 3 · Trainer Stephen Hanlon · Jockey Ben Robinson

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. First-time hood could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

83 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 73

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

721257 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

First-time hoodDrops in class (C2→C4)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 Bleep Test Likely to lead Finished 11

Stall 13 · Trainer Tim Easterby · Jockey Sean Kirrane

A model of consistency — placed in 5 of his last 6.

Ability rating

83 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 71

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

212234 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 6f

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessBack from a long absence — 345 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 13 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.97)

Long layoff (345d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

10 Mr Noble Races prominently Finished 3

Stall 12 · Trainer K R Burke · Jockey Clifford Lee

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 67

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

12 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 6f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 13%

DrawDrawn 12 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.97)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

11 Million Gold Likely to lead Finished 14

Stall 6 · Trainer Michael Appleby · Jockey Tom Marquand

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 66

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

13 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 6f

FitnessReturns from 154 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.17)

Long layoff (154d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

12 Von Trotter Races prominently Finished 6

Stall 15 · Trainer Michael & David Easterby · Jockey James Sullivan

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

78 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 63

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

22214107 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 15 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.97)

13 Rikki Tiki Tavi Likely to lead Finished 12

Stall 10 · Trainer Kevin Ryan · Jockey Kevin Stott

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

84 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 46

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

241101113 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 3)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 70 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 15%

DrawDrawn 10 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.97)

First run since wind opDrops in class (C3→C4)Fresh (70d)

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.