York · 1:55pm

Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Mile Handicap

Flat (Turf) 1m GOOD (Good to firm in places; watered; Overall 6.1; Home straight: Far side 5.9, Centre 6.1, Stands' side 6.0) Class 3 3yo+ 14 runners

Solid read Delinquent is our pick, with Wahdan the main danger. Field updated — 2 non-runners removed.

Wild Nature is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front. On recent form Wahdan sets the standard (RPR 101). By our composite read Delinquent shapes as the one they all have to beat — goes well on the good, is proven at the trip. Note Frankies Dream for an in-form yard.

How it played out: Cadarn won. Our top composite read Delinquent finished 5th.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Wild Nature is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over mid at York (impact value 1.55, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Anyone well-treated?

Delinquent drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Who's the main danger?

Wahdan is the chief threat to Delinquent, with the form figures climbing.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

8Wild Nature

Prominent 6

3Delinquent

7Sujet

12Zennor Storm

1Cadarn

2Wreck It Ryley

16Tailgunner Joe

Mid-pack 1

10Golden Strike

Held up 6

4Wahdan

5Frankies Dream

9Darkness

15Andesite

11Eligible

14Blue To Blue

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over mid at York (impact value 1.55, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.55

53% rivals beaten · n=290

Mid draw

IV 0.94

49% rivals beaten · n=310

High draw

IV 0.99

49% rivals beaten · n=368

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Delinquent Races prominently Finished 5

Stall 3 · Trainer K R Burke · Jockey Cam Hardie

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

100 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 100

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

531615 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 3

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 5 around 1m

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.55)

First-time cheekpiecesDrops in class (C2→C3)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

2 Wahdan Held up, comes late Finished 6

Stall 4 · Trainer Tim Easterby · Jockey Jake Dickson(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

101 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 101

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

22853118 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 5)

DistanceUnproven at 1m (0 from 3)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 4 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.55)

Drops in class (C2→C3)

3 Frankies Dream Held up, comes late Finished 3

Stall 5 · Trainer Jennie Candlish · Jockey Clifford Lee

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. First-time hood could sharpen him up; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

94 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 94

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

8711332 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 8

DistanceUnproven at 1m (0 from 4)

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 3 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 13%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

First-time hoodStable hot (4/17, 24%)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

4 Darkness Held up, comes late Finished 12

Stall 9 · Trainer David O'Meara · Jockey Mark Winn

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time visor could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

99 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 95

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

118761011 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 15)

DistanceHas won around 1m — 1 from 14

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 9 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

First-time visor

5 Sujet Races prominently Finished 11

Stall 7 · Trainer Declan Carroll · Jockey Zak Wheatley

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

96 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 87

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

113721015 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 8

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 5 around 1m

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 7 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

6 Andesite Held up, comes late Finished 2

Stall 15 · Trainer Roger Fell · Jockey Kevin Stott

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

92 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 92

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

16712532 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 6

DistanceUnproven at 1m (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 15%

DrawDrawn 15 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.99)

First-time tongue-tie

7 Eligible Held up, comes late Finished 13

Stall 11 · Trainer Michael & David Easterby · Jockey Lewis Chalkley(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

92 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 92

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1688410 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 8)

DistanceHas won around 1m — 4 from 33

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 11 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.99)

8 Wild Nature Likely to lead Finished 10

Stall 8 · Trainer Edward Bethell · Jockey Oisin Murphy

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6.

Ability rating

94 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 19%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 75

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

189913 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 5 around 1m

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 19%

DrawDrawn 8 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 Golden Strike Settles midfield Finished 7

Stall 10 · Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey · Jockey Oisin Orr

Reliable and on the up — placed in 4 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. First-time visor could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

81 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 81

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

8122121 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 3

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 1 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 10 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.99)

First-time visor

10 Zennor Storm Races prominently Finished 4

Stall 12 · Trainer William Haggas · Jockey Tom Marquand

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

85 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 19% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 84

most recent run

Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent

11910 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 1m

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 19%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 12 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.99)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

11 Blue To Blue Held up, comes late Finished 14

Stall 14 · Trainer Ruth Jefferson · Jockey Billy Garritty

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

87 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 20% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 76

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

112925 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 6

DistanceUnproven at 1m (0 from 3)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 14 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.99)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

12 Cadarn Races prominently Finished 1

Stall 1 · Trainer Kevin Ryan · Jockey Shane Gray

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

94 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 62

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

112413514 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 5 around 1m

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.55)

First-time tongue-tieDrops in class (C2→C3)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

13 Wreck It Ryley Races prominently Finished 9

Stall 2 · Trainer Alan Brown · Jockey David Nolan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

88 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 71

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

914838 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 3 of 14

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.55)

14 Tailgunner Joe Races prominently Finished 8

Stall 16 · Trainer Dylan Cunha · Jockey Jonny Peate

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

81 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at York

Last time out

RPR 56

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

617667 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 1m (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 16 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.99)

Drops in class (C2→C3)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.