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Lingfield · 6:55pm

Fabric First Past The Post Handicap

Flat (Turf) 1m 5f GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places; watered; 8.5) Class 6 4yo+ 4 runners
Tight read Captain Brett just edges it from Jack Langley and Stage Show — top 3 covered by 26 RPR. Field updated — 1 non-runner removed.
No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter. On recent form Stage Show sets the standard (RPR 79). By our composite read Captain Brett shapes as the one they all have to beat. Note Jack Langley for an in-form yard. In truth this is a tight heat — Captain Brett just shades it from Jack Langley on our read, so each-way thinking and the placepot make sense.
How it played out: Jack Langley won. Our top composite read Captain Brett finished 2nd.
The key questions
How will the race be run?
No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.
Does the draw matter?
Q3 best (win 18%) at this course and trip — worth weighing for the principals.
Anyone well-treated?
Captain Brett drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.
Who's the main danger?
Jack Langley is the chief threat to Captain Brett, proven at the trip — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.
Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 0

—

Mid-pack 1

2Jack Langley

Held up 3

1Captain Brett
3Stage Show
4Trooper

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

High draw

IV 0.97
46% rivals beaten · n=60
What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)
No. 1 read Captain Brett Held up, comes late Finished 2
Stall 1 · Trainer David Simcock · Jockey Stevie Donohoe

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating
70 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 17% · Jockey 12%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 59
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
238581 last time ←
GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 7
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 17%, jockey 12%
Drops in class (C5→C6)
Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result
2 Jack Langley Settles midfield Finished 1
Stall 2 · Trainer Charlie Clover · Jockey Jack Callan(3)

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating
66 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 24% · Jockey 16%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 59
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
312463 last time ←
DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 1 around 1m 5f
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 24%, jockey 16%
Stable hot (2/9, 22%)
Weakened in the closing stages last time
3 Stage Show Held up, comes late Finished 3
Stall 3 · Trainer Alexandra Dunn · Jockey Pat Cosgrave

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating
79 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 7% · Jockey 11%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 33
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
165618 last time ←
GroundProven on firm — won 1 of 5
DistanceUnproven at 1m 5f (0 from 2)
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 11%
First-time cheekpieces
4 Trooper Held up, comes late Finished 4
Stall 4 · Trainer Neil Mulholland · Jockey Harry Vigors(5)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time blinkers could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating
61 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 20% · Jockey 4%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 42
most recent run
Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent
86657 last time ←
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 4%
First-time blinkersDrops in class (C5→C6)
Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.