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Lingfield · 6:25pm

Chris, Aleah And Ellanna Family Day Out Handicap

Flat (Turf) 1m 1f GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places; watered; 8.5) Class 4 3yo 5 runners
Solid read Savvy Disko is our pick, with Knight Of Glory the main danger.
This 1m 1f Class 4 contest at Lingfield features 5 runners on firm going, with a likely muddling pace and no clear front-runner. Mid draws are favoured, boasting an impact value of 1.23 and beating 54% of rivals on average. Savvy Disko and Knight Of Glory are prominent in the market, the latter considered the main danger to the former, while Magical Merlot drops in class and Suddenly I See also features among the leading contenders, having recently achieved an RPR of 84.
How it played out: Savvy Disko won. Our top composite read Savvy Disko finished 1st.
The key questions
How will the race be run?
No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.
Does the draw matter?
Mid draws are favoured over mid at Lingfield (impact value 1.23, beating 54% of rivals on average).
Any unexposed improver?
Savvy Disko is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.
Anyone well-treated?
Magical Merlot drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.
Who's the main danger?
Knight Of Glory is the chief threat to Savvy Disko.
Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 4

3Savvy Disko
1Knight Of Glory
4Suddenly I See
5Mayaada

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 1

2Magical Merlot

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Mid draws are favoured over mid at Lingfield (impact value 1.23, beating 54% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 0.89
47% rivals beaten · n=141

Mid draw

IV 1.23
54% rivals beaten · n=161

High draw

IV 1.02
49% rivals beaten · n=225
What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)
No. 1 read Savvy Disko Races prominently Finished 1
Stall 3 · Trainer S Woods · Jockey Jack Callan(3)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating
83 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 10% · Jockey 16%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 83
most recent run
Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent
341 last time ←
FitnessFreshened up — 46 days since his last run
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 16%
2 Knight Of Glory Races prominently Finished 5
Stall 1 · Trainer David Menuisier · Jockey Dylan Hogan

Holds solid claims on these figures. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating
81
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 8% · Jockey 12%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 81
most recent run
Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent
41 last time ←
FitnessReturns from 127 days off the track
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 12%
Stable hot (4/13, 31%)Long layoff (127d)
3 Magical Merlot Held up, comes late Finished 3
Stall 2 · Trainer Ed Dunlop · Jockey Paddy Bradley

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating
80 steady
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 12% · Jockey 11%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 76
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
321534 last time ←
GroundProven on firm — won 1 of 3
DistanceUnproven at 1m 1f (0 from 1)
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 11%
Drops in class (C2→C4)
Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result
4 Suddenly I See Races prominently Finished 4
Stall 4 · Trainer Charlie Johnston · Jockey Pat Cosgrave

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 5.

Ability rating
84 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 12% · Jockey 11%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 52
most recent run
Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent
311612 last time ←
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 11%
Weakened in the closing stages last time
5 Mayaada Races prominently Finished 2
Stall 5 · Trainer Ollie Sangster · Jockey Stevie Donohoe

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating
81 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 8% · Jockey 12%
strike rate at Lingfield
Last time out
RPR 67
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
7921104 last time ←
GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 3)
DistanceUnproven at 1m 1f (0 from 1)
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 12%
Drops in class (C3→C4)

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.