Chepstow · 7:05pm

Paving Fields Construction Maiden Handicap

Flat (Turf) 7f GOOD TO FIRM (Watered; 7.8) Class 6 3yo+ 7 runners

Tight read Okiru just edges it from Jackabi and Imagine That — top 3 covered by 10 RPR.

This 7-furlong class 6 contest at Chepstow features 7 runners on firm going, with a likely steady gallop controlled by the lone leader. High draws are favoured at Chepstow, with an impact value of 1.21, beating 50% of rivals on average. Okiru, the only confirmed front-runner, is a leading contender with a recent RPR of 72, while Jackabi, dropping in class with a recent RPR of 69, is considered the main danger, with barely a length between them on the figures. The top of the race is very close, with Okiru and Jackabi narrowly ahead of the rest, including Imagine That and Thai Princess, who both drop in class.

How it played out: Jackabi won. Our top composite read Okiru finished 2nd.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Okiru is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does the draw matter?

High draws are favoured over mid at Chepstow (impact value 1.21, beating 50% of rivals on average).

Anyone well-treated?

Jackabi drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Who's the main danger?

Jackabi is the chief threat to Okiru, with the form figures climbing — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

2Okiru

Prominent 3

1Jackabi

3Thai Princess

5Creciente

Mid-pack 1

7Imagine That

Held up 2

4Mister McGregor

6Havana's Dream

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

High draws are favoured over mid at Chepstow (impact value 1.21, beating 50% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.12

48% rivals beaten · n=147

Mid draw

IV 0.82

53% rivals beaten · n=165

High draw

IV 1.21

50% rivals beaten · n=221

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Okiru Likely to lead Finished 2

Stall 2 · Trainer Archie Watson · Jockey William Cox

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

72 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 3%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 72

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

256UR57 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 8)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 3%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.12)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

2 Jackabi Races prominently Finished 1

Stall 1 · Trainer Ian Williams · Jockey Ryan Kavanagh(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time hood+tongue-tie could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

69 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 69

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

7224125 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 6)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.12)

First-time hood+tongue-tieDrops in class (C4→C6)

3 Imagine That Settles midfield Finished 4

Stall 7 · Trainer Henry Candy · Jockey Nicola Currie

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

62 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 62

most recent run

Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent

71055 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.21)

Drops in class (C5→C6)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Thai Princess Races prominently Finished 5

Stall 3 · Trainer Andrew Balding · Jockey Callum Hutchinson

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

56 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 56

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

464 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

FitnessFreshened up — 61 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.82)

First-time tongue-tieFirst run since wind opDrops in class (C5→C6)Fresh (61d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Creciente Races prominently Finished 6

Stall 5 · Trainer Rod Millman · Jockey Georgia Dobie

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

52 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 52

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

111285134 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 5)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 5 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.21)

First-time cheekpiecesDrops in class (C5→C6)

6 Mister McGregor Held up, comes late Finished 3

Stall 4 · Trainer Michael Mullineaux · Jockey Tyler Heard

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time eyeshields+blinkers could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

54 improving

recent best — career high 74 in 2024

This track

Trainer 4% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 53

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

5291492 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 6)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 7)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 4%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.82)

First-time eyeshields+blinkers

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

7 Havana's Dream Held up, comes late Finished 7

Stall 6 · Trainer Ronald Harris · Jockey Ben Ffrench Davis(5)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

34 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 21%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 14

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

7759811 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 6)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 21%

DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.21)

First-time cheekpieces

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.