Windsor · 7:45pm

Sri Lanka Paradise Island Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Flat (Turf) 1m 3½f GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places: watered, 7.4) changing to GOOD TO FIRM after Race 2 (5.45) Class 3 4yo+ 7 runners

Tight read Claymore just edges it from Spioradalta and King's Code — top 3 covered by 14 RPR. Field updated — 1 non-runner removed.

Pride Of Donegal is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control, and is favourably drawn (high is best over this trip here) — a powerful setup if left alone up front. On recent form King's Code sets the standard (RPR 105). By our composite read Claymore shapes as the one they all have to beat — goes well on the firm, is proven at the trip. Note Claymore for an in-form yard. In truth this is a tight heat — Claymore just shades it from Spioradalta on our read, so each-way thinking and the placepot make sense.

How it played out: Claymore won. Our top composite read Claymore finished 1st.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Does the draw matter?

Mid draws are favoured over route at Windsor (impact value 1.38, beating 51% of rivals on average).

Anyone well-treated?

Claymore drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Who's the main danger?

Spioradalta is the chief threat to Claymore, with the form figures climbing — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

8Pride Of Donegal

Prominent 4

4Claymore

2Spioradalta

1King's Code

5Fireblade

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 2

7Majestic

3Wisper

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Mid draws are favoured over route at Windsor (impact value 1.38, beating 51% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 0.52

47% rivals beaten · n=77

Mid draw

IV 1.38

51% rivals beaten · n=80

High draw

IV 1.21

51% rivals beaten · n=115

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Claymore Races prominently Finished 1

Stall 4 · Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam · Jockey Billy Loughnane

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

102 improving

recent best — career high 112 in 2022

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 19%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 100

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

178645 last time ←

GroundProven on firm — won 2 of 6

DistanceHas won around 1m 3½f — 1 from 11

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 19%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

Drops in class (C2→C3)Stable hot (4/17, 24%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

2 Spioradalta Races prominently Finished 6

Stall 2 · Trainer Mark Walford · Jockey Jack Garritty

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

98 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 98

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3718111 last time ←

GroundProven on firm — won 1 of 4

DistanceUnproven at 1m 3½f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.52)

Drops in class (C2→C3)

3 King's Code Races prominently Finished 5

Stall 1 · Trainer David Evans · Jockey Conor Whiteley(5)

Holds solid claims on these figures. First-time blinkers could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

105 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 33%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 86

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

568141016 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 3)

DistanceHas won around 1m 3½f — 2 from 12

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 33%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.52)

First-time blinkersDrops in class (C2→C3)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Fireblade Races prominently Finished 4

Stall 5 · Trainer Dylan Cunha · Jockey Charles Bishop

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

100 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3193174 last time ←

GroundProven on firm — won 2 of 7

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 5 around 1m 3½f

FitnessFreshened up — 67 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 7%

DrawDrawn 5 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.21)

Drops in class (C2→C3)Fresh (67d)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

5 Majestic Held up, comes late Finished 2

Stall 7 · Trainer Jack Channon · Jockey Rose Dawes(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

102 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 17% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

31281974 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 8

DistanceUnproven at 1m 3½f (0 from 3)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 17%, jockey 17%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.21)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Wisper Held up, comes late Finished 3

Stall 3 · Trainer Alan King · Jockey Rossa Ryan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

96 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 21%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 95

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

185851 last time ←

GroundProven on firm — won 5 of 15

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 4 around 1m 3½f

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 2 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 21%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.38)

Stable hot (3/7, 43%)

7 Pride Of Donegal Likely to lead Finished 7

Stall 8 · Trainer Charlie Johnston · Jockey Jack Mitchell

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. First-time visor could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

97 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 45

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

431138 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 8 around 1m 3½f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 17%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.21)

First-time visor

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.