Windsor · 6:15pm

Sri Lanka The Wonder Of Asia Handicap

Flat (Turf) 6f GOOD TO FIRM (Watered) Class 4 3yo+ 10 runners

Solid read Supreme King is our pick, with Desert Cop the main danger. Field updated — 2 non-runners removed.

Angel Of Anfield and Marcellinus should ensure an even gallop. On recent form Supreme King sets the standard (RPR 104). Note Star Chorus for an in-form yard.

How it played out: Desert Cop won. Our top composite read Supreme King finished 2nd.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Angel Of Anfield and Marcellinus should ensure an even gallop.

Does the draw matter?

High draws are favoured over sprint at Windsor (impact value 1.26, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Anyone well-treated?

Desert Cop drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Who's the main danger?

Desert Cop is the chief threat to Supreme King, with the form figures climbing.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 2

9Marcellinus

5Angel Of Anfield

Prominent 2

2Jax Edge

6An Outlaw's Grace

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 6

3Supreme King

8Desert Cop

7Star Chorus

4Alasrae

1Kiniro

12Combustion

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

High draws are favoured over sprint at Windsor (impact value 1.26, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 0.96

49% rivals beaten · n=313

Mid draw

IV 0.85

48% rivals beaten · n=340

High draw

IV 1.26

53% rivals beaten · n=446

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Supreme King Held up, comes late Finished 2

Stall 3 · Trainer David Evans · Jockey Rossa Ryan

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

104 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 21%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 104

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

153551 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 7)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 8 of 34 around 6f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 21%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.96)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

2 Desert Cop Held up, comes late Finished 1

Stall 8 · Trainer George Baker · Jockey Benoit De La Sayette

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

93 improving

recent best — career high 112 in 2023

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 86

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

6731457 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 8)

DistanceHas won around 6f — 3 from 19

Course3 runs at the track without winning

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 5 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 13%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.26)

First-time cheekpiecesDrops in class (C3→C4)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Star Chorus Held up, comes late Finished 5

Stall 7 · Trainer Mike Murphy · Jockey Charles Bishop

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; first-time hood could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

92 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 77

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1341815 last time ←

GroundProven on firm — won 1 of 4

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 4 around 6f

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 7%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.26)

First-time hoodDrops in class (C2→C4)Stable hot (2/5, 40%)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

4 Jax Edge Races prominently Finished 7

Stall 2 · Trainer Christopher Mason · Jockey Gina Mangan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

81 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 81

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1109461 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 2 from 15

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 7 of 26 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 3 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.96)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Alasrae Held up, comes late Finished 6

Stall 4 · Trainer George Boughey · Jockey Billy Loughnane

Reliable and on the up — placed in 5 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. First-time tongue-tie could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

82 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 17% · Jockey 19%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 82

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

121373 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 3 of 10 around 6f

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 17%, jockey 19%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.85)

First-time tongue-tie

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

6 Marcellinus Likely to lead Finished 4

Stall 9 · Trainer Tom Dascombe · Jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin

Reliable and on the up — placed in 6 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

81 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 81

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

332122 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 5 around 6f

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 9 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.26)

Stable hot (3/11, 27%)

7 Kiniro Held up, comes late Finished 8

Stall 1 · Trainer Dan Horsford · Jockey Alexandra Egan(7)

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6.

Ability rating

85 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 0% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 77

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3318112 last time ←

DistanceHas won around 6f — 2 from 12

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 0%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.96)

8 Angel Of Anfield Likely to lead Finished 10

Stall 5 · Trainer Tom Clover · Jockey Jack Mitchell

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

82 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 54

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

5221210 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 4 around 6f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

FitnessFreshened up — 50 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 17%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.85)

Drops in class (C2→C4)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 Combustion Held up, comes late Finished 9

Stall 12 · Trainer Chelsea Banham · Jockey Joey Haynes

A model of consistency — placed in 5 of his last 6.

Ability rating

83 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 45

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3111217 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 7 of 10 around 6f

FitnessFreshened up — 57 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 7%

DrawDrawn 12 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.26)

10 An Outlaw's Grace Races prominently Finished 3

Stall 6 · Trainer Richard Hannon · Jockey Seamus Cronin(5)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up.

Ability rating

84 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 50%

strike rate at Windsor

Last time out

RPR 42

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3776219 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6f (0 from 5)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 50%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.85)

First-time cheekpieces

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.