Hurdle2m 7fGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 6.7)Class 54yo+7 runners
Tight readIkigai Star just edges it from Final Entry and The Great Escape — top 3 covered by 14 RPR.
An even gallop looks likely with The Great Escape and Ikigai Star both expected to go forward. Ikigai Star heads the ratings on a recent RPR of 99 and has shown form on good ground, though stamina at this trip remains unproven. Final Entry, with a recent RPR of 97, drops in class and is the main threat, with little to separate the pair on recent figures. The Great Escape (RPR 108) and Kantagua Du Large (RPR 92) both weakened late last time, suggesting the finish could be tight among the principals. The top of the race is very close, with little between the leading contenders.
The key questions
How will the race be run?
The Great Escape and Ikigai Star should ensure an even gallop.
Does The Great Escape stay 2m 7f?
It's the highest-rated but unproven beyond today's trip — a stamina question over this distance.
Anyone well-treated?
Final Entry drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.
Who's the main danger?
Final Entry is the chief threat to Ikigai Star, with the form figures climbing — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.
Pace map — who goes forward, who waits
Leads 2
0Ikigai Star
0The Great Escape
Prominent 2
0Final Entry
0Hardy Buck
Mid-pack 1
0Kantagua Du Large
Held up 2
0Fane Court
0Warner's Cross
Pace confidence: 100%
What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)
No. 1 readIkigai StarLikely to lead
Stall 0 · Trainer Charlie Longsdon · Jockey David Bass
Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.
Ability rating
99 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 16% · Jockey 18%
strike rate at Worcester
Last time out
RPR 72
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
5533PU5last time ←
GroundProven on good — won 3 of 15
Course2 runs at the track without winning
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 18%
Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result
2Final EntryRaces prominently
Stall 0 · Trainer David Pipe · Jockey Jack Tudor
Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign; the stable is in good heart at the track.
Ability rating
97 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 13% · Jockey 14%
strike rate at Worcester
Last time out
RPR 96
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
766431last time ←
GroundHas won on good — 1 from 6
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 14%
Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.
Ability rating
92 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 25% · Jockey 11%
strike rate at Worcester
Last time out
RPR 87
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
644669last time ←
GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 25%, jockey 11%
Weakened in the closing stages last time
5Hardy BuckRaces prominently
Stall 0 · Trainer Max Comley · Jockey Luke Scott(3)
Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.
Ability rating
82 improving
recent best — career high 100 in 2024
This track
Trainer 0% · Jockey 24%
strike rate at Worcester
Last time out
RPR 75
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
8PU172PUlast time ←
GroundYet to win on good (0 from 15)
DistanceHas won around 2m 7f — 1 from 7
Course1 run at the track without winning
FitnessReturns from 155 days off the track
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 0%, jockey 24%
Long layoff (155d)
Weakened in the closing stages last time
6Fane CourtHeld up, comes late
Stall 0 · Trainer D J Jeffreys · Jockey Tom Bellamy
Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.
Ability rating
78 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 10% · Jockey 19%
strike rate at Worcester
Last time out
RPR 75
most recent run
Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent
874PU43last time ←
GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)
DistanceUnproven at 2m 7f (0 from 1)
Course1 run at the track without winning
FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 6 days
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 19%
7Warner's CrossHeld up, comes late
Stall 0 · Trainer Sophie Leech · Jockey Sean Bowen
Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.
Ability rating
57 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 10% · Jockey 24%
strike rate at Worcester
Last time out
RPR 50
most recent run
Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent
6PU5PU5last time ←
GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)
FitnessFreshened up — 66 days since his last run
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 24%
Fresh (66d)
Weakened in the closing stages last time
Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.
Optima Assistant
AI assistant — general info, not betting advice · 18+