Thirsk · 1:53pm
Flat (Turf)
7f
GOOD TO FIRM, Good in places (GoingStick: 8.0)
Class 5
3-5yo · F
3 runners
Tight read
Dolo's Star just edges it from Clementines Star and Princess Honey Bee — top 3 covered by 8 RPR.
This small-field 7f contest on firm ground at Thirsk looks set to be tactical, with no confirmed front-runner and a muddling gallop likely. High draws have a statistical edge here, with an impact value of 1.34 and a 53% average rival-beating rate. On recent RPRs, Dolo's Star and Clementines Star are closely matched on 68, with Princess Honey Bee just behind on 67 and dropping in class after weakening late last time. The top two are separated by less than a length on the figures, making this a tight race with little between the main contenders. Clementines Star rates the main danger to Dolo's Star.
The key questions
How will the race be run?
No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.
Does the draw matter?
High draws are favoured over mid at Thirsk (impact value 1.34, beating 53% of rivals on average).
Anyone well-treated?
Princess Honey Bee drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.
Who's the main danger?
Clementines Star is the chief threat to Dolo's Star — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.
Pace map — who goes forward, who waits
Leads 0
—
Prominent 2
1Dolo's Star
3Princess Honey Bee
Mid-pack 0
—
Held up 1
2Clementines Star
Pace confidence: 100%
Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured
High draws are favoured over mid at Thirsk (impact value 1.34, beating 53% of rivals on average).
Low draw
IV 0.44
44% rivals beaten · n=175
Mid draw
IV 1.23
52% rivals beaten · n=195
High draw
IV 1.34
53% rivals beaten · n=250
What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)
No. 1 read
Dolo's Star
Races prominently
Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.
Ability rating
68 improving
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 10% · Jockey 18%
strike rate at Thirsk
Last time out
RPR 61
most recent run
Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent
54211
last time ←
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 18%
2
Clementines Star
Held up, comes late
A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 4.
Ability rating
68 steady
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 15% · Jockey 6%
strike rate at Thirsk
Last time out
RPR 61
most recent run
Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent
3332
last time ←
DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 1)
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 6%
3
Princess Honey Bee
Races prominently
Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.
Ability rating
67 regressing
Racing Post Rating, recent form
This track
Trainer 13% · Jockey 13%
strike rate at Thirsk
Last time out
RPR 53
most recent run
Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent
334
last time ←
DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)
FitnessBack from a long absence — 325 days off, fitness to prove
ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 13%
Drops in class (C2→C5)Long layoff (325d)
Weakened in the closing stages last time
Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.