Leopardstown · 8:20pm

BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap

Flat (Turf) 1m 5f GOOD, Good to firm in places 3yo+ 6 runners

Clear read Tatum stands out on our figures.

Ob La Di is the only confirmed front-runner and could set a steady pace if left uncontested, though stamina at this trip remains unproven. Tatum stands out on recent figures, having posted an RPR of 96, and is a previous course winner who acts on good ground, but did weaken late on last time. Mid draws carry a notable advantage over this route at Leopardstown. Killyclogher Rose and Cooley's Mist are next best on ratings, with recent RPRs of 75 and 70 respectively. Ob La Di shapes as the main danger to Tatum.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Ob La Di is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does Tatum stay 1m 5f?

It's the highest-rated but unproven beyond today's trip — a stamina question over this distance.

Does the draw matter?

Mid draws are favoured over route at Leopardstown (impact value 1.69, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

1Ob La Di

Prominent 2

6Tatum

5Killyclogher Rose

Mid-pack 1

2Cala Bonita

Held up 2

4Cooley's Mist

3Derry Lad

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Mid draws are favoured over route at Leopardstown (impact value 1.69, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.04

49% rivals beaten · n=68

Mid draw

IV 1.69

53% rivals beaten · n=74

High draw

IV 0.72

49% rivals beaten · n=98

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Tatum Races prominently

Stall 6 · Trainer Noel Meade · Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle

Reliable and on the up — placed in 4 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

96 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 96

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

312175 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 6

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 1 around 1m 5f

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 3 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.72)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

2 Ob La Di Likely to lead

Stall 1 · Trainer J P Murtagh · Jockey Ben Coen

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

79 improving

recent best — career high 89 in 2025

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 79

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

121216485 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 8

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 1m 5f

Course5 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.04)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

3 Killyclogher Rose Races prominently

Stall 5 · Trainer A Oliver · Jockey W J Lee

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

75 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 74

most recent run

Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent

6351 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 5 (high third) — against the draw bias (impact value 0.72)

4 Cooley's Mist Held up, comes late

Stall 4 · Trainer H Rogers · Jockey Chris Hayes

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

70 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 4% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 67

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

747833 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 4%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.69)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

5 Derry Lad Held up, comes late

Stall 3 · Trainer Kevin Thomas Coleman · Jockey Colin Keane

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

69 improving

recent best — career high 90 in 2024

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 69

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

9991255 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 16

DistanceUnproven at 1m 5f (0 from 3)

Course6 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 17%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.69)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

6 Cala Bonita Settles midfield

Stall 2 · Trainer Matthew J Smith · Jockey Robbie Colgan

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6.

Ability rating

74 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 59

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

211848 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 5

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 5 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.04)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.