Leopardstown · 5:24pm

Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Apprentice Handicap

Flat (Turf) 7f GOOD, Good to firm in places 3yo+ 14 runners

Tight read Dynamic Force just edges it from Bear Right and Rodeeve — top 3 covered by 1 RPR. Field updated — 1 non-runner removed.

This 7f Leopardstown contest looks set to be run at a muddling, tactical pace, with no confirmed front-runner among the 14 runners. Mid draws have a statistical edge here, with an impact value of 1.32 and a 51% rival-beating rate. The race is tightly matched at the top, with Dynamic Force and Bear Right separated by less than a length on recent figures; Bear Right is the main danger, having met trouble last time. Rodeeve and Faoladh also come into the mix, both usually prominent and proven on good ground, with Faoladh a previous course winner.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Does the draw matter?

Mid draws are favoured over mid at Leopardstown (impact value 1.32, beating 51% of rivals on average).

Who's the main danger?

Bear Right is the chief threat to Dynamic Force, met trouble last time — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 6

11Dynamic Force

9Rodeeve

13Faoladh

1Ardadslosttheplot

6Ardeur

4Prime Sign

Mid-pack 2

14God Knows

15Mehmar

Held up 6

2Bear Right

7Comfort Line

10Smaoineamh Sile

3Notforalongtime

5Dawn Flame

8Cordouan

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Mid draws are favoured over mid at Leopardstown (impact value 1.32, beating 51% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.13

53% rivals beaten · n=439

Mid draw

IV 1.32

51% rivals beaten · n=461

High draw

IV 0.94

47% rivals beaten · n=668

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Dynamic Force Races prominently

Stall 11 · Trainer T G McCourt · Jockey Sadhbh Tormey(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

73 improving

recent best — career high 95 in 2022

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 73

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

4124745 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 2 from 17

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 9)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 11 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

2 Bear Right Held up, comes late

Stall 2 · Trainer Mrs John Harrington · Jockey Keithen Kennedy

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

90 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 74

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

6UR7343 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 4)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.13)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

3 Rodeeve Races prominently

Stall 9 · Trainer Michael J Browne · Jockey Adam Browne-Souza(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

73 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 5% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 73

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

13845114 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 5

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 6)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 5%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 9 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Faoladh Races prominently

Stall 13 · Trainer Andrew Slattery · Jockey Sam Coen(2)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

78 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 58

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

463169 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 9

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 4 around 7f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 7 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 13 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

5 Comfort Line Held up, comes late

Stall 7 · Trainer Adrian McGuinness · Jockey Cillian Rowan(7)

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

70 improving

recent best — career high 97 in 2021

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 70

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1043125 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 27

DistanceHas won around 7f — 3 from 30

Course11 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 14%

DrawDrawn 7 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Ardadslosttheplot Races prominently

Stall 1 · Trainer David Marnane · Jockey Rebecca Parsons(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

69 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 66

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

635113 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 0%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.13)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

7 Smaoineamh Sile Held up, comes late

Stall 10 · Trainer Conor David Maxwell · Jockey Nicola Burns(2)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

68 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 4% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 68

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

21381113UR last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 3 from 28

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 6)

CourseCourse winner — 4 from 14 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 4%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 10 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

8 Notforalongtime Held up, comes late

Stall 3 · Trainer Laura Hourigan · Jockey Rory Mulligan(2)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

82 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 30% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 43

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

833858 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 13)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 6 of 31 around 7f

Course6 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 30%, jockey 7%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.13)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 Ardeur Races prominently

Stall 6 · Trainer Patrick J Flynn · Jockey Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(4)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

65 improving

recent best — career high 81 in 2024

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 53

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

498151514 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 15%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

10 God Knows Settles midfield

Stall 14 · Trainer P Sweeney · Jockey Patrick McGettigan(2)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

73 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 4% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 40

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

52214913 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 2 from 12

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 62 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 4%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 14 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Fresh (62d)

11 Dawn Flame Held up, comes late

Stall 5 · Trainer Paul W Flynn · Jockey Wesley Joyce

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

68 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 55

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

49121583 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 3)

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 5 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

12 Mehmar Settles midfield

Stall 15 · Trainer Nigel Thomas Slevin · Jockey Jack Cleary

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

57 improving

recent best — career high 96 in 2024

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 51

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

6612857 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 8

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 5)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 6%

DrawDrawn 15 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.94)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

13 Prime Sign Races prominently

Stall 4 · Trainer A Oliver · Jockey Jack Kearney

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

61 steady

recent best — career high 72 in 2025

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 46

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

624518129 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 4

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 4)

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 5 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 4 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.13)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

14 Cordouan Held up, comes late

Stall 8 · Trainer P Sweeney · Jockey Mel Sheridan(7)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

65 regressing

recent best — career high 97 in 2022

This track

Trainer 4% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 28

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

91688259 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 11)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 10 around 7f

Course5 runs at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 66 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 4%, jockey 0%

DrawDrawn 8 (mid third) — favoured here (impact value 1.32)

Fresh (66d)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.