Leopardstown · 4:20pm

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

Flat (Turf) 6½f GOOD, Good to firm in places 2yo 11 runners

Clear read Star Of State stands out on our figures. Field updated — 1 non-runner removed.

This 6½f turf contest at Leopardstown features 11 runners and lacks a confirmed front-runner, so a muddling, tactical gallop is likely. Star Of State stands out on recent form with an RPR of 71 and is lightly raced, suggesting further progress could be possible. Whosinterviewinwho, with a recent RPR of 63, is the main danger and may race prominently based on breeding, though weakened late last time. Little Diva (RPR 58) and Siege Of Tyre (RPR 46) are also noted, both likely to race mid-pack and each having excuses or positives from their latest starts. A handy early position and tactical speed may prove crucial given the expected pace scenario.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Does the draw matter?

Q3 best (win 12%) at this course and trip — worth weighing for the principals.

Any unexposed improver?

Star Of State is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 1

12Whosinterviewinwho

Mid-pack 2

11Little Diva

6Siege Of Tyre

Held up 0

—

Pace confidence: 0%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Star Of State Run-style unknown

Stall 4 · Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle

Holds solid claims on these figures. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 71

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

2 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6½f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

Stable hot (18/52, 35%)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

2 Whosinterviewinwho Races prominentlyest

Stall 12 · Trainer Andrew Slattery · Jockey Jimmy Dalton(7)

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 2%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 63

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

7 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 2%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Little Diva Settles midfieldest

Stall 11 · Trainer T G McCourt · Jockey Sadhbh Tormey(7)

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 58

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

5 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 6%

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

4 Siege Of Tyre Settles midfieldest

Stall 6 · Trainer Kieran P Cotter · Jockey Rory Cleary

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

RPR 46

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

10 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 6½f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 5%

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

5 Magma King Run-style unknown

Stall 8 · Trainer Jack W Davison · Jockey James Ryan

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 7%

6 This That Run-style unknown

Stall 5 · Trainer G M Lyons · Jockey Colin Keane

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 20% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 17%

7 El Domino Run-style unknown

Stall 9 · Trainer Andrew Slattery · Jockey Andrew Slattery

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 7%

8 Scotty Cameron Run-style unknown

Stall 2 · Trainer Kevin Thomas Coleman · Jockey Shane Foley

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 10%

9 Not You Too Run-style unknown

Stall 7 · Trainer M D O'Callaghan · Jockey Donagh O'Connor

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 4% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 4%, jockey 10%

10 Someday Somewhere Run-style unknown

Stall 1 · Trainer Stephen Thorne · Jockey W J Lee

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 23% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 23%, jockey 12%

11 Dear Theodosia Run-style unknown

Stall 3 · Trainer Daniel McLoughlin · Jockey Nathan Crosse

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Leopardstown

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 5%

Stable hot (2/8, 25%)

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.