Killarney · 7:55pm

Matchbook Exchange Flat Race

Flat (Turf) 2m 1f GOOD 4yo 8 runners

Tight read Caislean Gear just edges it from Bairdin and Bravemans Call.

This 2m 1f turf contest at Killarney features eight runners and is expected to unfold at a muddling, tactical pace, with no confirmed front-runner. The race looks tightly matched at the top, with little separating the main contenders. Caislean Gear, who posted a recent RPR of 106 and is likely to race mid-pack on breeding, is the highest-rated but remains unproven over this trip, raising a stamina question. Bairdin is the main danger, with our figures showing less than a length between them. Charles Kickham is lightly raced and could progress, while Bravemans Call and Emergency Man also feature among the leading contenders.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Does Caislean Gear stay 2m 1f?

It's the highest-rated but unproven beyond today's trip — a stamina question over this distance.

Any unexposed improver?

Charles Kickham is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Who's the main danger?

Bairdin is the chief threat to Caislean Gear — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 1

0Charles Kickham

Mid-pack 1

0Caislean Gear

Held up 0

—

Pace confidence: 12%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Caislean Gear Settles midfieldest

Stall 0 · Trainer Andrew Slattery · Jockey Mr A P Ryan(5)

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

106

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 3%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 106

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

24 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 3%

2 Bairdin Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer Kieran Purcell · Jockey Mr D Doyle(7)

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 2% · Jockey 2%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 2%, jockey 2%

3 Bravemans Call Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy · Jockey Mr J Dunne(7)

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

4 Emergency Man Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer Paul Nolan · Jockey Mr B T Stone(7)

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 19%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 19%

5 Inishtearaght Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer Emmet Mullins · Jockey Mr J L Gleeson

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 15%

6 Throwmedownsomthin Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer I Madden · Jockey Mr J P Sampson(7)

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 1% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 1%, jockey 0%

7 Walkineezy Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer Denis Gerard Hogan · Jockey Mr H C Swan

A newcomer to the form book — judged on stable and breeding.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

—

most recent run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 12%

8 Charles Kickham Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Kieran Purcell · Jockey Mr J C Barry

Has racing experience, though lightly exposed in our figures.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 2% · Jockey 3%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 81

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

8 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 18.5% on good

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 1)

FitnessFreshened up — 73 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 2%, jockey 3%

Fresh (73d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.