Killarney · 6:10pm

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Hurdle 2m 4½f GOOD 4yo+ 14 runners

Solid read Inchidaly Copper is our pick, with Malikanna the main danger. Field updated — 2 non-runners removed.

This 2m 4½f hurdle at Killarney features 14 runners on good ground, with no confirmed front-runner suggesting a likely muddling, tactical pace. Inchidaly Copper sets the standard on recent form, posting an RPR of 108 and already a course winner. Malikanna, with improving form figures, is the main danger, though she weakened late on her latest start. King Ferdinand remains lightly raced and is the type to progress further. Koeur A Prendre and Tedworth both tend to be held up and encountered issues or faded late last time.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Any unexposed improver?

King Ferdinand is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Who's the main danger?

Malikanna is the chief threat to Inchidaly Copper, with the form figures climbing.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 4

0Inchidaly Copper

0Luck Between Us

0Swelltime

0Miss Donna

Mid-pack 4

0Gaoithe Glory

0Mother Ship

0Ray Gun

0King Ferdinand

Held up 6

0Malikanna

0Koeur A Prendre

0Tedworth

0Brianna Lily

0Pleasureofpressure

0Boston Queen

Pace confidence: 93%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Inchidaly Copper Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Alexander Ott · Jockey Luke Burke Ott(4)

Reliable and on the up — placed in 4 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

108 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 0% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 108

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

261338 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 2 from 13

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 5)

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 3 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 0%, jockey 0%

2 Malikanna Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Padraig Roche · Jockey Peter Smithers(4)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

101 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 89

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

710F926 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 1)

FitnessFreshened up — 61 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 0%

Fresh (61d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Koeur A Prendre Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer M A Molloy · Jockey Michael Kenneally

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

90 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 17%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 90

most recent run

Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent

77112 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 1)

FitnessFreshened up — 63 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 17%

Fresh (63d)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

4 Tedworth Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Michael Barry · Jockey Dylan O'Connor(4)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

86 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 81

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

641114– last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 10)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 2m 4½f

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 48 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 0%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Gaoithe Glory Settles midfield

Stall 0 · Trainer E McNamara · Jockey Patrick M O'Brien(2)

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

98 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 86

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

759945 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 5)

Course3 runs at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 49 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 12%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Brianna Lily Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer James M Barcoe · Jockey Eoghan Finegan(2)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

94 improving

recent best — career high 114 in 2023

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 82

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

12PU12368 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 11

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 8)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 0%

7 Luck Between Us Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Donncha Duggan · Jockey Niall Moore(2)

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

98 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 2%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 78

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

2836197 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 4)

FitnessBack from a long absence — 200 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 2%

Long layoff (200d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 Pleasureofpressure Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer P J Rothwell · Jockey Shane O'Callaghan

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

86 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 83

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

542344 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 7)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 4)

FitnessFreshened up — 61 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 11%

Fresh (61d)

9 Swelltime Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer W J O'Doherty · Jockey Josh Williamson

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

108 regressing

recent best — career high 125 in 2022

This track

Trainer 12% · Jockey 3%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 63

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3810986 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 5 of 26

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 7 around 2m 4½f

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 4 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 12%, jockey 3%

10 Mother Ship Settles midfield

Stall 0 · Trainer John Joseph Hanlon · Jockey Harry Sexton(4)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

96 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 5% · Jockey 3%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 71

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

52PU588 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 14)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 7)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 47 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 5%, jockey 3%

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

11 Miss Donna Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Patrick John Kiely · Jockey Dylan Whelan(4)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

90 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 20% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 67

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

48PU583 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 0%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

12 Boston Queen Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Gordon Elliott · Jockey Paddy Cleary(4)

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

69 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 66

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

99610BD last time ←

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 55 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 0%

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

13 Ray Gun Settles midfield

Stall 0 · Trainer J P Flavin · Jockey Jordan Canavan(4)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

78 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 51

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

481314PUPU last time ←

FitnessFreshened up — 50 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 0%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

14 King Ferdinand Settles midfieldest

Stall 0 · Trainer Eugene M O'Sullivan · Jockey Alan O'Sullivan(2)

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

—

most recent run

Last 1 start — oldest to most recent

– last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 14.0% on good

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 1)

FitnessFreshened up — 47 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 15%

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.