Epsom · 8:40pm

Betfred Everswift 30 July Handicap Stakes

Flat (Turf) 7f GOOD TO FIRM, Firm in places (GoingStick: 7.3) Class 6 3yo 8 runners

Clear read Madman stands out on our figures. Field updated — 1 non-runner removed.

An even gallop is expected, with Credit Forgedd It and Ice Cube likely to ensure a fair pace. Low draws are favoured at Epsom, and Credit Forgedd It, drawn in the preferred section, is well positioned. Madman stands out on recent figures (RPR 85) and had excuses last time after meeting trouble in running. Piazza, who also encountered trouble previously, drops in class, which is often a positive for the yard. Eyes Front and Credit Forgedd It complete the leading contenders on ratings.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Credit Forgedd It and Ice Cube should ensure an even gallop.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over mid at Epsom (impact value 1.24, beating 54% of rivals on average). Credit Forgedd It, the likely leader, is drawn in the favoured section — a positive.

Anyone well-treated?

Piazza drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 2

1Credit Forgedd It

4Ice Cube

Prominent 1

3Twilight Glow

Mid-pack 1

5Madman

Held up 4

2Piazza

6Eyes Front

7Sun Of Dolly

8Karisma's Angel

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over mid at Epsom (impact value 1.24, beating 54% of rivals on average). Credit Forgedd It, the likely leader, is drawn in the favoured section — a positive.

Low draw

IV 1.24

54% rivals beaten · n=145

Mid draw

IV 1.14

49% rivals beaten · n=157

High draw

IV 0.96

48% rivals beaten · n=202

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Madman Settles midfield

Stall 5 · Trainer Rachel Cook & John Bridger · Jockey Mason Paetel(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

85 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 85

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

525692 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 5%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.14)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

2 Piazza Held up, comes late

Stall 2 · Trainer Ollie Sangster · Jockey Hector Crouch

Holds solid claims on these figures. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks; drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

68 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 64

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

43345 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.24)

Drops in class (C5→C6)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

3 Eyes Front Held up, comes late

Stall 6 · Trainer Edward Smyth-Osbourne · Jockey Alistair Rawlinson

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

66 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 20% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 65

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

665555 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 6)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 6)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.96)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Credit Forgedd It Likely to lead

Stall 1 · Trainer Simon Dow · Jockey Sean Levey

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

65 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 57

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

452594 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.24)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

5 Ice Cube Likely to lead

Stall 4 · Trainer Richard Spencer · Jockey Oisin Murphy

Holds solid claims on these figures. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

63 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 19%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 57

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

735656 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 5)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 5)

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 6 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 19%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.14)

Drops in class (C4→C6)

6 Twilight Glow Races prominently

Stall 3 · Trainer Jonathan Portman · Jockey Rob Hornby

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

67 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 52

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

9414586 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 4)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.14)

Drops in class (C5→C6)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

7 Sun Of Dolly Held up, comes late

Stall 7 · Trainer John Gallagher · Jockey Neil Callan

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

59 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 15% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 48

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

76648 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 2)

FitnessFreshened up — 56 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 15%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.96)

Drops in class (C5→C6)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 Karisma's Angel Held up, comes late

Stall 8 · Trainer Ed Walker · Jockey Kieran Shoemark

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

63 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Epsom

Last time out

RPR 46

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

1061162 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 4)

FitnessReturns from 153 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.96)

Long layoff (153d)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.