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HomeData Studies › Doncaster St Leger Festival 2027: Trends & Data

Doncaster St Leger Festival 2027: Trends & Data

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

the St Leger Festival is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 316 races at Doncaster in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 32% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
Roger Varian952021.1%
Andrew Balding1161412.1%
John Gosden481429.2%
Charlie Appleby631422.2%
Richard Hannon159138.2%
William Haggas771114.3%
John & Thady Gosden441125.0%
Ralph Beckett751013.3%
K R Burke821012.2%
A P OBrien80911.2%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
William Buick1393122.3%
Andrea Atzeni1172319.7%
Frankie Dettori802227.5%
Oisin Murphy1252016.0%
Ryan Moore1041817.3%
Jim Crowley711419.7%
Tom Marquand891213.5%
David Egan531120.8%
Silvestre De Sousa801012.5%
James Doyle7679.2%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20253122.6%
20243023.3%
20233033.3%
20222425.0%
20212839.3%
20202825.0%
20192931.0%
20182931.0%
20172934.5%
20162934.5%
20152948.3%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Ubettabelieveit (IRE) (33/1, 2020), Shazani (FR) (33/1, 2025), Polly Pott (GB) (33/1, 2022), Yabher (GB) (33/1, 2024), Goddess Of Fire (GB) (33/1, 2020), The Great Heir (FR) (33/1, 2018). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 the St Leger Festival arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Doncaster in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (316 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

We score every UK & Irish runner on this kind of data — every morning.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.