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Home › Data Studies › Royal Ascot 2027: Trends From 11 Years of Data

Royal Ascot 2027: Trends From 11 Years of Data

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

Royal Ascot is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 346 races at Ascot in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 28% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
A P OBrien3104414.2%
John & Thady Gosden1651710.3%
Charlie Appleby177169.0%
Andrew Balding200136.5%
John Gosden123129.8%
William Haggas131118.4%
Sir Michael Stoute105109.5%
A P O'Brien48918.8%
W P Mullins52917.3%
Mark Johnston13796.6%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Ryan Moore3316519.6%
William Buick2502610.4%
Frankie Dettori1682615.5%
James Doyle253218.3%
Oisin Murphy220188.2%
Daniel Tudhope118119.3%
Tom Marquand14896.1%
Jamie Spencer15795.7%
Jim Crowley15885.1%
Andrea Atzeni12364.9%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20262128.6%
20253540.0%
20243534.3%
20233522.9%
20223534.3%
20213525.7%
20193026.7%
20183020.0%
20173023.3%
20163026.7%
20153030.0%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Valiant Force (USA) (50/1, 2023), Rashabar (IRE) (50/1, 2024), Khaadem (IRE) (50/1, 2023), Reshoun (FR) (50/1, 2021), Ten Bob Tony (IRE) (50/1, 2026), Witch Hunter (FR) (50/1, 2023). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 Royal Ascot arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Ascot in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (346 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.