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HomeData Studies › Punchestown Festival 2027: 11 Years of Trends & Data

Punchestown Festival 2027: 11 Years of Trends & Data

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

the Punchestown Festival is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 540 races at Punchestown in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 34% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
W P Mullins95317117.9%
Gordon Elliott504428.3%
Mrs John Harrington2152612.1%
Gavin Cromwell1672213.2%
Henry De Bromhead314154.8%
Joseph Patrick OBrien1091311.9%
E Bolger851112.9%
Emmet Mullins551018.2%
Noel Meade169105.9%
Peter Maher9488.5%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Paul Townend2336829.2%
Mr P W Mullins1383122.5%
Mark Walsh2042813.7%
Robbie Power1252419.2%
R Walsh701724.3%
Danny Mullins217177.8%
J J Slevin1081614.8%
B J Cooper1201411.7%
Mr Derek OConnor791417.7%
Davy Russell1091311.9%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20264833.3%
20254037.5%
20244731.9%
20234742.6%
20226028.3%
20216338.1%
20194533.3%
20184415.9%
20175829.3%
20164438.6%
20154443.2%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Sawbuck (IRE) (50/1, 2022), Conron (IRE) (50/1, 2018), Buy Some Time (IRE) (50/1, 2025), Walk To Freedom (IRE) (50/1, 2015), Ambitious Fellow (IRE) (33/1, 2022), Caledon Craic (IRE) (33/1, 2015). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 the Punchestown Festival arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Punchestown in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (540 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.