the Irish Derby Festival at the Curragh is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 328 races at Curragh in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P OBrien | 275 | 52 | 18.9% |
| Joseph Patrick OBrien | 210 | 31 | 14.8% |
| G M Lyons | 172 | 28 | 16.3% |
| Mrs John Harrington | 200 | 21 | 10.5% |
| J S Bolger | 191 | 21 | 11.0% |
| J P Murtagh | 121 | 13 | 10.7% |
| D K Weld | 129 | 12 | 9.3% |
| M Halford | 96 | 9 | 9.4% |
| A P O'Brien | 30 | 8 | 26.7% |
| W McCreery | 76 | 7 | 9.2% |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Keane | 209 | 36 | 17.2% |
| Ryan Moore | 114 | 34 | 29.8% |
| Shane Foley | 194 | 26 | 13.4% |
| Wayne Lordan | 176 | 23 | 13.1% |
| Chris Hayes | 201 | 18 | 9.0% |
| Seamie Heffernan | 147 | 18 | 12.2% |
| Kevin Manning | 144 | 15 | 10.4% |
| Donnacha OBrien | 54 | 14 | 25.9% |
| W J Lee | 169 | 14 | 8.3% |
| Ronan Whelan | 129 | 13 | 10.1% |
| Year | Races | Favourite SR |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 37.5% |
| 2025 | 33 | 21.2% |
| 2024 | 32 | 43.8% |
| 2023 | 15 | 26.7% |
| 2022 | 30 | 36.7% |
| 2021 | 31 | 25.8% |
| 2020 | 40 | 37.5% |
| 2019 | 29 | 34.5% |
| 2018 | 29 | 44.8% |
| 2017 | 21 | 28.6% |
| 2016 | 30 | 36.7% |
We score every UK & Irish runner each morning. When the meeting comes round you get the model's pick for each race on Telegram before the off — the same engine behind these 328 races of data.
Verified 34.8% strike on our maximum-confidence bets — every result logged, win or lose.
Get free picks on Telegram →The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Alexios Komnenos (IRE) (50/1, 2016), Copia Verborum (IRE) (33/1, 2018), Sovereign (IRE) (33/1, 2019), Courageous Strike (GB) (25/1, 2024), Roman Turbo (IRE) (25/1, 2019), Corker Hill (IRE) (25/1, 2015). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.
When the 2027 the Irish Derby Festival at the Curragh arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:
Data: all races at Curragh in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (328 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.
Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.