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HomeData Studies › York Ebor Festival 2027: Trends From 11 Years of Data

York Ebor Festival 2027: Trends From 11 Years of Data

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

York's Ebor Festival is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 293 races at York in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 28% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
William Haggas1582012.7%
Andrew Balding1441913.2%
John Gosden491326.5%
Charlie Appleby661319.7%
A P OBrien1061312.3%
John & Thady Gosden561119.6%
Ralph Beckett911112.1%
Richard Hannon111119.9%
Michael Dods46919.6%
Tim Easterby10887.4%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
William Buick1602415.0%
Frankie Dettori1052221.0%
Ryan Moore1422114.8%
Oisin Murphy1492013.4%
Daniel Tudhope1461711.6%
Jim Crowley961515.6%
James Doyle1191411.8%
Tom Marquand134118.2%
Andrea Atzeni9588.4%
Jamie Spencer7967.6%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20252832.1%
20242828.6%
20232821.4%
20222828.6%
20212828.6%
20202832.1%
20192540.0%
20182528.0%
20172528.0%
20162532.0%
20152512.0%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Excellent Times (GB) (50/1, 2019), Arabian Queen (IRE) (50/1, 2015), Alpha Delphini (GB) (33/1, 2018), Ropey Guest (GB) (33/1, 2023), Red Balloons (GB) (33/1, 2018), Breege (GB) (33/1, 2024). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 York's Ebor Festival arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at York in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (293 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.