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HomeData Studies › Cheltenham Trials Day 2027: 11 Years of January Trends

Cheltenham Trials Day 2027: 11 Years of January Trends

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

Cheltenham's January Trials Day meeting is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 161 races at Cheltenham in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 31% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
Nicky Henderson981616.3%
Paul Nicholls961111.5%
Nigel Twiston-Davies701014.3%
Fergal OBrien45715.6%
Dan Skelton57712.3%
Alan King44715.9%
Nick Williams27518.5%
Venetia Williams4249.5%
Philip Hobbs35411.4%
Colin Tizzard4848.3%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Sam Twiston-Davies801215.0%
Paddy Brennan53815.1%
Barry Geraghty44715.9%
Nico de Boinville35720.0%
Harry Cobden61711.5%
Harry Skelton52713.5%
Daryl Jacob33515.2%
Gavin Sheehan41512.2%
Aidan Coleman40512.5%
Sean Bowen39512.8%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20261526.7%
20251450.0%
20241533.3%
20231618.8%
20221540.0%
20201421.4%
20191421.4%
20181435.7%
20171631.3%
20161435.7%
20151421.4%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Tour Des Champs (FR) (50/1, 2017), Urgent De Gregaine (FR) (50/1, 2017), Dolphin Square (IRE) (25/1, 2022), Protek Des Flos (FR) (25/1, 2016), Mon Parrain (FR) (25/1, 2015), Elixir De Nutz (FR) (20/1, 2024). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 Cheltenham's January Trials Day meeting arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Cheltenham in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (161 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.