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HomeData Studies › Cheltenham November Meeting 2027: The Open Trends

Cheltenham November Meeting 2027: The Open Trends

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

Cheltenham's November Meeting (The Open) is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 205 races at Cheltenham in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 31% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
Dan Skelton1031716.5%
Paul Nicholls1111614.4%
Nicky Henderson871314.9%
Colin Tizzard521121.2%
Nigel Twiston-Davies861112.8%
Philip Hobbs551018.2%
David Pipe7379.6%
Alan King48612.5%
Fergal OBrien7867.7%
Jonjo ONeill4848.3%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Harry Skelton821619.5%
Harry Cobden771620.8%
Nico de Boinville501326.0%
Paddy Brennan521019.2%
Sam Twiston-Davies811012.3%
Sean Bowen58712.1%
Richard Johnson55712.7%
Barry Geraghty45613.3%
Tom Scudamore52611.5%
Aidan Coleman5747.0%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20251921.1%
20241957.9%
20231936.8%
20221926.3%
20211926.3%
20201915.8%
20191540.0%
20181921.1%
20171936.8%
20161921.1%
20151942.1%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Lively Citizen (IRE) (33/1, 2020), Lavender Hill Mob (GB) (33/1, 2025), Red Hot Chilly (IRE) (33/1, 2018), Mc Alpine (IRE) (33/1, 2021), Contrapposto (IRE) (25/1, 2022), Un Beau Roman (FR) (25/1, 2016). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 Cheltenham's November Meeting (The Open) arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Cheltenham in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (205 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.